跑馬地 · 2020-12-23
第 8場
2020-12-23跑馬地第8場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由J Moreira策騎、F C Lor訓練的KINDA COOL勝出，贏出3/4。SHOUSON獲得亞軍；WIND N GRASS獲得季軍。頭馬以2.2倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | KINDA COOL B 1.09.28 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 2 | 2.2 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 12 | SHOUSON B K C Leung · A T Millard | K C Leung | A T Millard | 10 | 54.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 5 | WIND N GRASS TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 4 | 6.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 2 | MIG ENERGY XB/TT A Hamelin · A S Cruz | A Hamelin | A S Cruz | 3 | 8.3 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | FLYING BONUS Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 9 | 11.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | STAR OF YUEN LONG B K H Chan · K L Man | K H Chan | K L Man | 1 | 10.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 1 | STANLEY PARK B C Soumillon · D E Ferraris | C Soumillon | D E Ferraris | 5 | 6.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 11 | BLOTTING PAPER B C Wong · R Gibson | C Wong | R Gibson | 6 | 105.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 6 | ISLAND SHINE B-/CP1 N Callan · P F Yiu | N Callan | P F Yiu | 11 | 48.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 7 | SHAMPORT TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 12 | 37.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 8 | TAKING AIM C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 8 | 19.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 4 | HINCHINLOVE B/TT H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 7 | 105.0 | 10-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | KINDA COOL | 33.4% | 3.00 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | STANLEY PARK | 14.1% | 7.08 | 7 |
| 3 | 9 | FLYING BONUS | 11.6% | 8.59 | 5 |
| 4 | 3 | STAR OF YUEN LONG | 11.2% | 8.94 | 6 |
| 5 | 2 | MIG ENERGY | 8.6% | 11.65 | 4 |
| 6 | 5 | WIND N GRASS | 4.1% | 24.21 | 3 |
| 7 | 8 | TAKING AIM | 3.9% | 25.38 | 11 |
| 8 | 11 | BLOTTING PAPER | 3.8% | 26.54 | 8 |
| 9 | 6 | ISLAND SHINE | 3.5% | 28.83 | 9 |
| 10 | 7 | SHAMPORT | 2.9% | 34.11 | 10 |
| 11 | 4 | HINCHINLOVE | 2.2% | 45.80 | 12 |
| 12 | 12 | SHOUSON | 0.7% | 147.16 | 2 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 22
PLACE
5 20
10 12.5
12 116
QUINELLA
10,12 568.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,10 33
5,12 363
10,12 166.5
FORECAST
10,12 908
TIERCE
10,12,5 6,556
TRIO
5,10,12 835
FIRST 4
2,5,10,12 1,927
QUARTET
10,12,5,2 42,295
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 16.5
7TH DOUBLE
1/10 423.5
1/12 951