沙田 · 2021-01-24
第 4場
2021-01-24沙田第4場，Class 3，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Y Ho策騎、K W Lui訓練的SEA OF LIFE勝出，贏出N。PRIME MINISTER獲得亞軍；FLAGSHIP GLORY獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.5倍大熱門BELUGA跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SEA OF LIFE 後段發力 V 1.22.15 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 5 | 8.1 | N |
| 2 | 9 | PRIME MINISTER 後段發力 TT1 K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 1 | 11.0 | N |
| 3 | 5 | FLAGSHIP GLORY 後段發力 J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 13 | 16.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 6 | SACRED IBIS 後段發力 XB K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 4 | 16.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 13 | DIAMOND BRILLIANT 早段領放 TT M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 12 | 68.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 11 | BELUGA 後段發力 H Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 14 | 3.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 8 | JUNEAU PARK A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 3 | 6.3 | 2 |
| 8 | 4 | CRAIG'S STAR B C Soumillon · C S Shum | C Soumillon | C S Shum | 10 | 5.8 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 1 | E STAR H2 N Callan · K L Man | N Callan | K L Man | 2 | 12.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 3 | STAR PERFORMANCE 後段發力 TT T Piccone · A S Cruz | T Piccone | A S Cruz | 9 | 14.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 10 | HARMONY WIN WIN XB1 C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 6 | 50.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 12 | 14 | PERFECT PAIR SR H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 11 | 89.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 13 | 7 | FANTASTIC SHOW 後段發力 B H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 7 | 131.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 14 | 12 | GREEN REIGN C Schofield · C Fownes | C Schofield | C Fownes | 8 | 15.0 | 5-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | BELUGA | 22.2% | 4.50 | 6 |
| 2 | 5 | FLAGSHIP GLORY | 20.5% | 4.87 | 3 |
| 3 | 8 | JUNEAU PARK | 13.5% | 7.41 | 7 |
| 4 | 2 | SEA OF LIFE | 6.9% | 14.45 | 1 |
| 5 | 4 | CRAIG'S STAR | 6.4% | 15.67 | 8 |
| 6 | 1 | E STAR | 6.1% | 16.36 | 9 |
| 7 | 6 | SACRED IBIS | 5.9% | 17.03 | 4 |
| 8 | 10 | HARMONY WIN WIN | 3.9% | 25.42 | 11 |
| 9 | 12 | GREEN REIGN | 3.7% | 26.99 | 14 |
| 10 | 13 | DIAMOND BRILLIANT | 3.3% | 30.12 | 5 |
| 11 | 3 | STAR PERFORMANCE | 2.7% | 36.43 | 10 |
| 12 | 9 | PRIME MINISTER | 2.5% | 40.07 | 2 |
| 13 | 14 | PERFECT PAIR | 1.5% | 66.07 | 12 |
| 14 | 7 | FANTASTIC SHOW | 0.7% | 137.30 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 81
PLACE
2 29.5
5 58.5
9 35.5
QUINELLA
2,9 556
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 179
2,9 188.5
5,9 369
FORECAST
2,9 823
TIERCE
2,9,5 15,280
TRIO
2,5,9 2,382
FIRST 4
2,5,6,9 7,213
QUARTET
2,9,5,6 174,226
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
4,7,14/2,5,9 125,952
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 17
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE
7/2 248.5
7/9 70