沙田 · 2021-03-21
第 9場
2021-03-21沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由J Moreira策騎、J Size訓練的FANTASTIC WAY勝出，贏出1-1/2。THE RUNNER獲得亞軍；LIKE THAT獲得季軍。頭馬以1.9倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | FANTASTIC WAY 1.08.98 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 10 | 1.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 13 | THE RUNNER M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 6 | 65.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 10 | LIKE THAT V K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 1 | 15.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 9 | MARVEL DRAGON TT Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 8 | 14.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 1 | TRILLION WIN M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 11 | 12.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 6 | NAMJONG SINGS B A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 3 | 4.7 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 7 | FIGHTING STAR XB/TT T Piccone · D J Whyte | T Piccone | D J Whyte | 2 | 85.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 11 | HARDLY SWEARS M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 13 | 128.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 2 | SUPER DOBBIN B K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 7 | 7.2 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 5 | MEANINGFUL STAR B1 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 4 | 170.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 14 | UNIVERSAL HERO C Wong · Y S Tsui | C Wong | Y S Tsui | 9 | 464.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 12 | SIMPLY SPECTACULAR H A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 14 | 20.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 13 | 3 | KAI XIN DRAGON H/TT B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 5 | 30.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 14 | 8 | PASSING FASHION H H N Wong · C H Yip | H N Wong | C H Yip | 12 | 473.0 | 8 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | FANTASTIC WAY | 40.1% | 2.49 | 1 |
| 2 | 9 | MARVEL DRAGON | 9.5% | 10.56 | 4 |
| 3 | 6 | NAMJONG SINGS | 8.5% | 11.82 | 6 |
| 4 | 12 | SIMPLY SPECTACULAR | 8.3% | 12.05 | 12 |
| 5 | 10 | LIKE THAT | 7.8% | 12.77 | 3 |
| 6 | 2 | SUPER DOBBIN | 7.4% | 13.43 | 9 |
| 7 | 1 | TRILLION WIN | 5.7% | 17.54 | 5 |
| 8 | 5 | MEANINGFUL STAR | 3.2% | 31.50 | 10 |
| 9 | 13 | THE RUNNER | 2.9% | 34.19 | 2 |
| 10 | 3 | KAI XIN DRAGON | 2.8% | 35.69 | 13 |
| 11 | 11 | HARDLY SWEARS | 1.7% | 59.80 | 8 |
| 12 | 7 | FIGHTING STAR | 1.5% | 67.25 | 7 |
| 13 | 14 | UNIVERSAL HERO | 0.3% | 288.70 | 11 |
| 14 | 8 | PASSING FASHION | 0.3% | 374.71 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 19
PLACE
4 11
10 41.5
13 126
QUINELLA
4,13 580.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,10 63.5
4,13 171
10,13 824
FORECAST
4,13 1,042
TIERCE
4,13,10 6,550
TRIO
4,10,13 1,615
FIRST 4
4,9,10,13 3,832
QUARTET
4,13,10,9 47,445
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 19
8TH DOUBLE
1/4 112.5
1/13 707.5