沙田 · 2021-03-21
第 7場
2021-03-21沙田第7場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由J Moreira策騎、J Size訓練的COURIER WONDER勝出，贏出3-1/2。REGENCY BO BO獲得亞軍；KEEP YOU WARM獲得季軍。頭馬以1.1倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | COURIER WONDER 1.08.92 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 1 | 1.1 | 3-1/2 |
| 2 | 3 | REGENCY BO BO B/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 8 | 17.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 3 | 9 | KEEP YOU WARM B/XB K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 12 | 28.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 4 | 12 | LUCKY QUALITY M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 3 | 46.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 4 | TRANSCENDENT CP/TT C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 2 | 17.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 10 | ARMOR STAR V M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 5 | 56.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 5 | TRUST ME H M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 7 | 22.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 1 | SMART LEADER B/TT N Callan · W Y So | N Callan | W Y So | 4 | 43.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 6 | WINE AND WINE TT R Maia · T P Yung | R Maia | T P Yung | 9 | 97.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 2 | WATER DIVINER B/H/TT K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 10 | 54.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 7 | DUBLIN STAR B A Hamelin · K L Man | A Hamelin | K L Man | 6 | 16.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 11 | SIMPLY FLUKE CP/H/XB T Piccone · D J Whyte | T Piccone | D J Whyte | 11 | 121.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 13 | 13 | TELECOM CHEETAH P/TT H N Wong · C H Yip | H N Wong | C H Yip | 13 | 271.0 | 9 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | COURIER WONDER | 45.9% | 2.18 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | REGENCY BO BO | 9.2% | 10.82 | 2 |
| 3 | 7 | DUBLIN STAR | 8.4% | 11.96 | 11 |
| 4 | 5 | TRUST ME | 8.3% | 12.09 | 7 |
| 5 | 4 | TRANSCENDENT | 7.1% | 14.15 | 5 |
| 6 | 9 | KEEP YOU WARM | 5.8% | 17.27 | 3 |
| 7 | 10 | ARMOR STAR | 3.7% | 26.98 | 6 |
| 8 | 1 | SMART LEADER | 3.4% | 29.49 | 8 |
| 9 | 12 | LUCKY QUALITY | 3.4% | 29.61 | 4 |
| 10 | 11 | SIMPLY FLUKE | 2.3% | 44.04 | 12 |
| 11 | 2 | WATER DIVINER | 1.1% | 88.80 | 10 |
| 12 | 6 | WINE AND WINE | 0.9% | 108.39 | 9 |
| 13 | 13 | TELECOM CHEETAH | 0.6% | 176.05 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 11.5
PLACE
3 26.5
8 10.1
9 37.5
QUINELLA
3,8 60.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,8 29
3,9 160
8,9 35
FORECAST
8,3 88
TIERCE
8,3,9 501
TRIO
3,8,9 183
FIRST 4
3,8,9,12 1,153
QUARTET
8,3,9,12 7,566
全部彩池（另 3 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
6,11,13/3,8,9 16,311
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 11.5
A2 —
6TH DOUBLE
6/3 106
6/8 46