Sha Tin · 2021-03-21
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2021-03-21 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. COURIER WONDER, ridden by J Moreira and trained by J Size, won by 3-1/2, with REGENCY BO BO second and KEEP YOU WARM third. Victory came as the 1.1 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | COURIER WONDER 1.08.92 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 1 | 1.1 | 3-1/2 |
| 2 | 3 | REGENCY BO BO B/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 8 | 17.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 3 | 9 | KEEP YOU WARM B/XB K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 12 | 28.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 4 | 12 | LUCKY QUALITY M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 3 | 46.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 4 | TRANSCENDENT CP/TT C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 2 | 17.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 10 | ARMOR STAR V M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 5 | 56.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 5 | TRUST ME H M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 7 | 22.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 1 | SMART LEADER B/TT N Callan · W Y So | N Callan | W Y So | 4 | 43.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 6 | WINE AND WINE TT R Maia · T P Yung | R Maia | T P Yung | 9 | 97.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 2 | WATER DIVINER B/H/TT K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 10 | 54.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 7 | DUBLIN STAR B A Hamelin · K L Man | A Hamelin | K L Man | 6 | 16.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 11 | SIMPLY FLUKE CP/H/XB T Piccone · D J Whyte | T Piccone | D J Whyte | 11 | 121.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 13 | 13 | TELECOM CHEETAH P/TT H N Wong · C H Yip | H N Wong | C H Yip | 13 | 271.0 | 9 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | COURIER WONDER | 45.9% | 2.18 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | REGENCY BO BO | 9.2% | 10.82 | 2 |
| 3 | 7 | DUBLIN STAR | 8.4% | 11.96 | 11 |
| 4 | 5 | TRUST ME | 8.3% | 12.09 | 7 |
| 5 | 4 | TRANSCENDENT | 7.1% | 14.15 | 5 |
| 6 | 9 | KEEP YOU WARM | 5.8% | 17.27 | 3 |
| 7 | 10 | ARMOR STAR | 3.7% | 26.98 | 6 |
| 8 | 1 | SMART LEADER | 3.4% | 29.49 | 8 |
| 9 | 12 | LUCKY QUALITY | 3.4% | 29.61 | 4 |
| 10 | 11 | SIMPLY FLUKE | 2.3% | 44.04 | 12 |
| 11 | 2 | WATER DIVINER | 1.1% | 88.80 | 10 |
| 12 | 6 | WINE AND WINE | 0.9% | 108.39 | 9 |
| 13 | 13 | TELECOM CHEETAH | 0.6% | 176.05 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 11.5
PLACE
3 26.5
8 10.1
9 37.5
QUINELLA
3,8 60.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,8 29
3,9 160
8,9 35
FORECAST
8,3 88
TIERCE
8,3,9 501
TRIO
3,8,9 183
FIRST 4
3,8,9,12 1,153
QUARTET
8,3,9,12 7,566
All pools (3 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
6,11,13/3,8,9 16,311
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 11.5
A2 —
6TH DOUBLE
6/3 106
6/8 46