Sha Tin · 2021-03-21
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CHARITY GRACE Closed strongly B 1.21.99 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 4 | 1.9 | 2-3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | MASTER HERO Closed strongly XB/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 8 | 13.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | UNICORNBABY B/TT C L Chau · R Gibson | C L Chau | R Gibson | 10 | 6.7 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | APEX TOP B M Chadwick · A T Millard | M Chadwick | A T Millard | 3 | 20.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | EVERYONE'S DELIGHT Closed strongly V/TT1 A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 13 | 5.1 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | MUDITA Closed strongly N Callan · P O'Sullivan | N Callan | P O'Sullivan | 12 | 13.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | ON EXCEL STAR Closed strongly XB1 A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 6 | 112.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | RUBY STARS B/TT H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 1 | 314.0 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | FORMULA EXCEL C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 5 | 140.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | SPARKY STAR Closed strongly B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 7 | 10.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | STRONG ALLIANCE C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 2 | 181.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | SMILING FACE B/XB M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 11 | 47.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | LUCKY MARYKNOLL Led early B/TT R Maia · D A Hayes | R Maia | D A Hayes | 14 | 77.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 14 | 0 | THE SUBMARINE B C Wong · Y S Tsui | C Wong | Y S Tsui | 9 | 400.0 | 14-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2021-03-21 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. CHARITY GRACE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by C S Shum, won by 2-3/4, with MASTER HERO second and UNICORNBABY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.9 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CHARITY GRACE | 42.2% | 2.37 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | MASTER HERO | 13.1% | 7.61 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | EVERYONE'S DELIGHT | 12.5% | 7.98 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | UNICORNBABY | 8.2% | 12.25 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | SPARKY STAR | 5.7% | 17.42 | 10 |
| 6 | 0 | MUDITA | 4.7% | 21.08 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | APEX TOP | 3.2% | 31.45 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | SMILING FACE | 2.4% | 41.88 | 12 |
| 9 | 0 | ON EXCEL STAR | 1.9% | 51.92 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | FORMULA EXCEL | 1.9% | 53.46 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | STRONG ALLIANCE | 1.6% | 61.44 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | LUCKY MARYKNOLL | 1.3% | 75.66 | 13 |
| 13 | 0 | RUBY STARS | 0.6% | 161.80 | 8 |
| 14 | 0 | THE SUBMARINE | 0.6% | 168.28 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 19.5
PLACE
1 11.5
3 28.5
5 19.5
QUINELLA
1,3 102.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 41.5
1,5 28.5
3,5 97.5
FORECAST
1,3 140
TIERCE
1,3,5 547
TRIO
1,3,5 153
FIRST 4
1,3,5,13 365
QUARTET
1,3,5,13 3,957
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,6,10/1,3,5 6,346
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 15
3RD DOUBLE
1/1 44.5
1/3 58.5