Sha Tin · 2021-03-21
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SHANGHAI DRAGON Wire to wire B 1.35.28 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · T P Yung | M F Poon | T P Yung | 10 | 8.5 | N |
| 2 | 0 | ULTRA EXPRESS Closed strongly TT J Moreira · A T Millard | J Moreira | A T Millard | 5 | 3.2 | N |
| 3 | 0 | RUN RUN GOOD Closed strongly B R Maia · K L Man | R Maia | K L Man | 9 | 140.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | MALDIVES Closed strongly CP-/XB/SR1 Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 4 | 12.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | CALIFORNIA LEGEND TT C Wong · A S Cruz | C Wong | A S Cruz | 3 | 89.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | EL JEFE Closed strongly XB/TT K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 7 | 13.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | BREEZE OF SPRING CP-/TT K Teetan · K H Ting | K Teetan | K H Ting | 2 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | LIGHT OF WANSHI TT T Piccone · W Y So | T Piccone | W Y So | 12 | 25.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | LEADING FORTUNE A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 1 | 5.6 | 2-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | FREE FOAL M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 14 | 29.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | DECISIVE ACTION Closed strongly CP/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 8 | 6.8 | 3-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | JIMMU SR M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 13 | 88.0 | 4 |
| 13 | 0 | STUNNING IMPACT CP C Y Ho · P O'Sullivan | C Y Ho | P O'Sullivan | 11 | 10.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 14 | 0 | RUN DES RUN V Borges · K W Lui | V Borges | K W Lui | 6 | 202.0 | 4-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2021-03-21 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. SHANGHAI DRAGON, ridden by M F Poon and trained by T P Yung, won by N, with ULTRA EXPRESS second and RUN RUN GOOD third. The winner led throughout. The 3.2 favourite ULTRA EXPRESS finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MALDIVES | 25.7% | 3.89 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | ULTRA EXPRESS | 20.0% | 5.00 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | BREEZE OF SPRING | 9.8% | 10.17 | 7 |
| 4 | 0 | DECISIVE ACTION | 9.8% | 10.17 | 11 |
| 5 | 0 | LEADING FORTUNE | 7.4% | 13.50 | 9 |
| 6 | 0 | STUNNING IMPACT | 6.1% | 16.53 | 13 |
| 7 | 0 | FREE FOAL | 4.7% | 21.33 | 10 |
| 8 | 0 | EL JEFE | 4.0% | 25.31 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | CALIFORNIA LEGEND | 3.9% | 25.84 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | SHANGHAI DRAGON | 3.4% | 29.24 | 1 |
| 11 | 0 | LIGHT OF WANSHI | 2.1% | 48.42 | 8 |
| 12 | 0 | RUN DES RUN | 1.2% | 84.65 | 14 |
| 13 | 0 | JIMMU | 1.1% | 87.82 | 12 |
| 14 | 0 | RUN RUN GOOD | 0.8% | 119.91 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
13 85
PLACE
5 16
12 301
13 26.5
QUINELLA
5,13 156
QUINELLA PLACE
5,12 624
5,13 58.5
12,13 1,769
FORECAST
13,5 484
TIERCE
13,5,12 34,161
TRIO
5,12,13 8,512
FIRST 4
3,5,12,13 11,357
QUARTET
13,5,12,3 348,282
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 21.5
A1 —
A2 —
4TH DOUBLE
1/5 10.5
1/13 441