Sha Tin · 2021-03-21
Race 3
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2021-03-21 was Class 3 over 2000m, run on GOOD going. CHARITY FUN, ridden by Z Purton and trained by C S Shum, won by 1-1/4, with PAKISTAN FRIEND second and ARROGANT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.3 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | CHARITY FUN Closed strongly TT 2.02.41 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 5 | 2.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 10 | PAKISTAN FRIEND Led early TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 6 | 7.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 6 | ARROGANT B/TT N Callan · C Fownes | N Callan | C Fownes | 7 | 14.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 3 | VINCY Closed strongly SR/TT T Piccone · D J Whyte | T Piccone | D J Whyte | 4 | 8.1 | 3 |
| 5 | 4 | BLASTOISE CP A Hamelin · D E Ferraris | A Hamelin | D E Ferraris | 1 | 42.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | AWE XB M F Poon · D A Hayes | M F Poon | D A Hayes | 2 | 7.4 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 5 | CHAMPION SUPREME Closed strongly B/TT2 B Shinn · Y S Tsui | B Shinn | Y S Tsui | 9 | 45.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 8 | ABOVE Closed strongly B K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 10 | 11.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | GOD OF DRAGON H/XB/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 8 | 8.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 11 | CLEMENT LEGEND B/TT H N Wong · C S Shum | H N Wong | C S Shum | 3 | 48.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 2 | CALIFORNIA TEN B-/CP2/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 11 | 17.0 | 8 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | CHARITY FUN | 27.5% | 3.64 | 1 |
| 2 | 10 | PAKISTAN FRIEND | 14.9% | 6.72 | 2 |
| 3 | 7 | GOD OF DRAGON | 14.7% | 6.79 | 9 |
| 4 | 8 | ABOVE | 9.5% | 10.56 | 8 |
| 5 | 9 | AWE | 7.8% | 12.77 | 6 |
| 6 | 3 | VINCY | 7.1% | 13.99 | 4 |
| 7 | 2 | CALIFORNIA TEN | 5.7% | 17.52 | 11 |
| 8 | 6 | ARROGANT | 5.2% | 19.24 | 3 |
| 9 | 4 | BLASTOISE | 3.1% | 32.59 | 5 |
| 10 | 11 | CLEMENT LEGEND | 2.7% | 37.44 | 10 |
| 11 | 5 | CHAMPION SUPREME | 1.8% | 55.24 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 23.5
PLACE
1 12.5
6 39.5
10 28.5
QUINELLA
1,10 102
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 65
1,10 45
6,10 141.5
FORECAST
1,10 210
TIERCE
1,10,6 1,585
TRIO
1,6,10 386
FIRST 4
1,3,6,10 824
QUARTET
1,10,6,3 11,258
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
2/1 86.5
2/10 44.5
3 PICK 1
A1 18
A3 —
A2 —