Sha Tin · 2021-03-21
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2021-03-21 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. FANTASTIC TREASURE, ridden by C Schofield and trained by D A Hayes, won by 4, with GALACTIC second and DIVINE ERA third. The 2.9 favourite ENCHANTING START finished 7th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | FANTASTIC TREASURE 1.09.44 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Schofield · D A Hayes | C Schofield | D A Hayes | 8 | 3.0 | 4 |
| 2 | 5 | GALACTIC B1 A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 10 | 17.0 | 4 |
| 3 | 7 | DIVINE ERA XB/H1 K Teetan · K H Ting | K Teetan | K H Ting | 9 | 4.4 | 4-1/4 |
| 4 | 3 | LITTLE BIRD B/TT H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 6 | 120.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 5 | 14 | VOYAGE STAR V/TT R Maia · T P Yung | R Maia | T P Yung | 3 | 10.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 6 | 13 | DAZZLING FEELING TT V Borges · D E Ferraris | V Borges | D E Ferraris | 2 | 31.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 7 | 1 | ENCHANTING START TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 1 | 2.9 | 6-1/2 |
| 8 | 4 | JUDY'S STAR B K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 13 | 27.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 6 | CORDYCEPS ONE H1 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 11 | 92.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | MASTER OF FUN H N Callan · C H Yip | N Callan | C H Yip | 5 | 27.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 11 | DRAGON KINGDOM T Piccone · Y S Tsui | T Piccone | Y S Tsui | 7 | 187.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 12 | VAST STARLIGHT H J Moreira · W Y So | J Moreira | W Y So | 14 | 61.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 13 | 8 | HERE WE GO H1 M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 4 | 102.0 | 12-3/4 |
| 14 | 10 | ZELUS B1 M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 12 | 174.0 | 13 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | ENCHANTING START | 30.5% | 3.28 | 7 |
| 2 | 7 | DIVINE ERA | 15.9% | 6.30 | 3 |
| 3 | 2 | FANTASTIC TREASURE | 13.4% | 7.46 | 1 |
| 4 | 14 | VOYAGE STAR | 9.6% | 10.39 | 5 |
| 5 | 5 | GALACTIC | 6.5% | 15.36 | 2 |
| 6 | 4 | JUDY'S STAR | 5.3% | 19.03 | 8 |
| 7 | 6 | CORDYCEPS ONE | 4.0% | 25.08 | 9 |
| 8 | 9 | MASTER OF FUN | 3.7% | 26.87 | 10 |
| 9 | 8 | HERE WE GO | 2.9% | 34.33 | 13 |
| 10 | 13 | DAZZLING FEELING | 2.9% | 34.90 | 6 |
| 11 | 10 | ZELUS | 2.5% | 39.58 | 14 |
| 12 | 12 | VAST STARLIGHT | 1.1% | 87.89 | 12 |
| 13 | 3 | LITTLE BIRD | 1.0% | 98.45 | 4 |
| 14 | 11 | DRAGON KINGDOM | 0.7% | 148.77 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 30.5
PLACE
2 12.5
5 41.5
7 16
QUINELLA
2,5 199
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 67
2,7 30.5
5,7 90
FORECAST
2,5 321
TIERCE
2,5,7 1,308
TRIO
2,5,7 307
FIRST 4
2,3,5,7 5,380
QUARTET
2,5,7,3 72,092
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
14/2 1,130
14/5 703.5
3 PICK 1
A1 15
A2 —
A3 —