Sha Tin · 2021-03-21
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2021-03-21 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. BELUGA, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D J Hall, won by NOSE, with TRUE LEGEND second and PERFECT PAIR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.4 favourite TRUE LEGEND finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | BELUGA Closed strongly H 1.21.62 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 9 | 3.7 | NOSE |
| 2 | 11 | TRUE LEGEND Closed strongly B K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 11 | 3.4 | NOSE |
| 3 | 13 | PERFECT PAIR Closed strongly SR A Badel · K H Ting | A Badel | K H Ting | 5 | 21.0 | N |
| 4 | 7 | COMPASSION SPIRIT B K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 14 | 45.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | KASI FARASI Closed strongly A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 6 | 21.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 14 | PURE LEGEND V M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 1 | 9.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 12 | NEW FUTURE Closed strongly B/TT M F Poon · T P Yung | M F Poon | T P Yung | 12 | 12.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 10 | DIVINE REGULUS TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 7 | 78.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 3 | NOBLE STEED Closed strongly B N Callan · K W Lui | N Callan | K W Lui | 8 | 64.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 1 | BEAUTY LEGACY E/TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 2 | 4.9 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 5 | STOICISM Led early B Shinn · D E Ferraris | B Shinn | D E Ferraris | 4 | 15.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 8 | HARMONY WIN WIN XB/SR1 C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 3 | 63.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 13 | 4 | IMA SINGLE MAN CP/H/TT T Piccone · A S Cruz | T Piccone | A S Cruz | 13 | 38.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 14 | 2 | AMAZING BEATS CP/TT C Schofield · P O'Sullivan | C Schofield | P O'Sullivan | 10 | 130.0 | 12-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | BEAUTY LEGACY | 33.8% | 2.96 | 10 |
| 2 | 6 | BELUGA | 15.2% | 6.59 | 1 |
| 3 | 14 | PURE LEGEND | 9.2% | 10.85 | 6 |
| 4 | 11 | TRUE LEGEND | 8.9% | 11.29 | 2 |
| 5 | 12 | NEW FUTURE | 6.3% | 15.79 | 7 |
| 6 | 9 | KASI FARASI | 5.9% | 16.98 | 5 |
| 7 | 4 | IMA SINGLE MAN | 4.3% | 23.04 | 13 |
| 8 | 7 | COMPASSION SPIRIT | 3.2% | 31.30 | 4 |
| 9 | 2 | AMAZING BEATS | 2.9% | 34.89 | 14 |
| 10 | 13 | PERFECT PAIR | 2.7% | 36.95 | 3 |
| 11 | 5 | STOICISM | 2.4% | 42.04 | 11 |
| 12 | 3 | NOBLE STEED | 2.3% | 43.42 | 9 |
| 13 | 10 | DIVINE REGULUS | 1.9% | 52.73 | 8 |
| 14 | 8 | HARMONY WIN WIN | 1.1% | 94.79 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 37
PLACE
6 16.5
11 12.5
13 58
QUINELLA
6,11 83
QUINELLA PLACE
6,11 32.5
6,13 151.5
11,13 110
FORECAST
6,11 180
TIERCE
6,11,13 1,739
TRIO
6,11,13 528
FIRST 4
6,7,11,13 2,764
QUARTET
6,11,13,7 28,247
All pools (3 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 21
A2 —
A3 —
5TH DOUBLE
13/6 521
13/11 163
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,3,5/5,12,13/Any Combination 110,785