沙田 · 2021-03-21
第 1場
2021-03-21沙田第1場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Badel策騎、W Y So訓練的BELLA BABY勝出，贏出1-3/4。PACKING AWARD獲得亞軍；SO AWESOME獲得季軍。2.9倍大熱門PACKING AWARD跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | BELLA BABY XB/TT 1.09.93 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 12 | 17.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 7 | PACKING AWARD H1 M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 6 | 2.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 9 | SO AWESOME B R Maia · Y S Tsui | R Maia | Y S Tsui | 9 | 6.8 | 2 |
| 4 | 5 | GLENEALY GENERALS V/XB1 N Callan · C H Yip | N Callan | C H Yip | 1 | 5.7 | 2 |
| 5 | 2 | SUMMIT CHEERS Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 10 | 4.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | SUPER COMMANDER TT B Shinn · D E Ferraris | B Shinn | D E Ferraris | 14 | 58.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 1 | EXCEED THE STARS B C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 4 | 66.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | XPONENTIAL CP T Piccone · D J Whyte | T Piccone | D J Whyte | 5 | 9.7 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 8 | SUPER FLAMES H W Lai · L Ho | H W Lai | L Ho | 3 | 241.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 11 | FARM BUMPER B C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 7 | 48.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 6 | LOVE ME MORE K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 13 | 15.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 13 | GALLANT LEGACY SR/TT A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 11 | 33.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 13 | 12 | ALL YOU WANT B/TT C Wong · R Gibson | C Wong | R Gibson | 8 | 331.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 14 | 10 | BULLISH UNICORN CP/H1/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 2 | 39.0 | 14-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SUMMIT CHEERS | 34.2% | 2.92 | 5 |
| 2 | 5 | GLENEALY GENERALS | 16.9% | 5.92 | 4 |
| 3 | 4 | XPONENTIAL | 7.8% | 12.85 | 8 |
| 4 | 9 | SO AWESOME | 6.4% | 15.66 | 3 |
| 5 | 3 | SUPER COMMANDER | 5.4% | 18.67 | 6 |
| 6 | 14 | BELLA BABY | 5.2% | 19.37 | 1 |
| 7 | 13 | GALLANT LEGACY | 4.4% | 22.73 | 12 |
| 8 | 6 | LOVE ME MORE | 4.3% | 23.37 | 11 |
| 9 | 11 | FARM BUMPER | 3.9% | 25.73 | 10 |
| 10 | 7 | PACKING AWARD | 3.6% | 27.46 | 2 |
| 11 | 1 | EXCEED THE STARS | 2.8% | 35.93 | 7 |
| 12 | 10 | BULLISH UNICORN | 2.5% | 40.51 | 14 |
| 13 | 8 | SUPER FLAMES | 2.2% | 46.27 | 9 |
| 14 | 12 | ALL YOU WANT | 0.6% | 170.01 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
14 172.5
PLACE
7 14
9 17.5
14 53
QUINELLA
7,14 293.5
QUINELLA PLACE
7,9 41
7,14 112.5
9,14 147.5
FORECAST
14,7 1,112
TIERCE
14,7,9 7,237
TRIO
7,9,14 891
FIRST 4
5,7,9,14 575
QUARTET
14,7,9,5 23,648
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 42
A2 —