沙田 · 2021-03-21
第 8場
2021-03-21沙田第8場，4YO，途程2000米，跑道評為GOOD。由J Moreira策騎、C Fownes訓練的SKY DARCI勝出，贏出HD。RUSSIAN EMPEROR獲得亞軍；PANFIELD獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.7倍大熱門RUSSIAN EMPEROR跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SKY DARCI 後段發力 TT 2.01.32 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 2 | 6.5 | HD |
| 2 | 7 | RUSSIAN EMPEROR 後段發力 B/XB K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 5 | 4.7 | HD |
| 3 | 8 | PANFIELD 後段發力 TT C Schofield · A T Millard | C Schofield | A T Millard | 12 | 26.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | EXCELLENT PROPOSAL 後段發力 E B Shinn · J Size | B Shinn | J Size | 8 | 5.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 11 | DELIGHTFUL LAOS 後段發力 B/TT K C Leung · A S Cruz | K C Leung | A S Cruz | 10 | 96.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 3 | HEALTHY HAPPY 早段領放 V/TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 3 | 10.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 5 | TOURBILLON DIAMOND 後段發力 B/TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 11 | 8.1 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 14 | PACKING WALTHAM B/TT N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 6 | 32.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 10 | SILVER EXPRESS B M Chadwick · J Size | M Chadwick | J Size | 1 | 6.9 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 6 | LUCKY EXPRESS E/TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 9 | 20.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 13 | MAXIMUS SR M F Poon · A T Millard | M F Poon | A T Millard | 4 | 98.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 4 | SHADOW HERO CP Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 7 | 8.3 | 9 |
| 13 | 9 | CONGRATULATION B/XB T Piccone · D J Whyte | T Piccone | D J Whyte | 14 | 114.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 14 | 12 | CONQUEROR CP-/B2 M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 13 | 63.0 | 9-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SKY DARCI | 21.5% | 4.65 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | SHADOW HERO | 12.3% | 8.13 | 12 |
| 3 | 10 | SILVER EXPRESS | 11.1% | 9.00 | 9 |
| 4 | 3 | HEALTHY HAPPY | 11.0% | 9.06 | 6 |
| 5 | 5 | TOURBILLON DIAMOND | 9.9% | 10.07 | 7 |
| 6 | 8 | PANFIELD | 7.3% | 13.76 | 3 |
| 7 | 6 | LUCKY EXPRESS | 6.4% | 15.54 | 10 |
| 8 | 2 | EXCELLENT PROPOSAL | 6.2% | 16.10 | 4 |
| 9 | 14 | PACKING WALTHAM | 4.0% | 24.97 | 8 |
| 10 | 11 | DELIGHTFUL LAOS | 2.8% | 35.53 | 5 |
| 11 | 13 | MAXIMUS | 2.3% | 43.15 | 11 |
| 12 | 7 | RUSSIAN EMPEROR | 2.2% | 45.17 | 2 |
| 13 | 12 | CONQUEROR | 1.5% | 68.29 | 14 |
| 14 | 9 | CONGRATULATION | 1.4% | 71.57 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 65.5
PLACE
1 26
7 19
8 73
QUINELLA
1,7 230.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 80.5
1,8 381
7,8 226
FORECAST
1,7 367
TIERCE
1,7,8 10,422
TRIO
1,7,8 2,317
FIRST 4
1,2,7,8 1,580
QUARTET
1,7,8,2 42,368
全部彩池（另 3 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 21
A3 —
A1 —
7TH DOUBLE
8/1 61
8/7 10.5
WINNING TRAINER
B2 —
B1 —
B4 21.5
B3 —