沙田 · 2021-03-21
第 10場
2021-03-21沙田第10場，Class 2，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD。由K C Leung策騎、F C Lor訓練的RELIABLE TEAM勝出，贏出N。BEAUTY SMILE獲得亞軍；SAVAQUIN獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。3.4倍大熱門FLAGSHIP GLORY跑獲第9名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | RELIABLE TEAM 一路領先 V 1.34.49 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 12 | 49.0 | N |
| 2 | 1 | BEAUTY SMILE B/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 13 | 6.1 | N |
| 3 | 14 | SAVAQUIN 後段發力 J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 3 | 4.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 2 | PRECIOUSSHIP 後段發力 XB A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 9 | 66.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | GENERAL'S DELIGHT 後段發力 B-/XB/SR1/TT T Piccone · D J Whyte | T Piccone | D J Whyte | 11 | 16.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 7 | THE ROCK 後段發力 A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 7 | 10.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 9 | MASTER MONTARO 後段發力 CP C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | 4 | 8.1 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 13 | TIANCHI MONSTER C Wong · W Y So | C Wong | W Y So | 8 | 91.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 11 | FLAGSHIP GLORY 後段發力 H C Schofield · F C Lor | C Schofield | F C Lor | 14 | 3.4 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 12 | SUPER FOOTBALL 後段發力 M Chadwick · K H Ting | M Chadwick | K H Ting | 10 | 16.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 4 | STAR SHINE TT K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 2 | 20.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 12 | 5 | SUPER OASIS XB-/B C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 5 | 19.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 13 | 10 | REEL BIZZY B H N Wong · C S Shum | H N Wong | C S Shum | 6 | 212.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 14 | 3 | SOLAR WAI WAI M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 1 | 60.0 | 7 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | SAVAQUIN | 36.8% | 2.72 | 3 |
| 2 | 7 | THE ROCK | 11.9% | 8.41 | 6 |
| 3 | 11 | FLAGSHIP GLORY | 9.3% | 10.73 | 9 |
| 4 | 12 | SUPER FOOTBALL | 8.7% | 11.45 | 10 |
| 5 | 1 | BEAUTY SMILE | 8.7% | 11.47 | 2 |
| 6 | 9 | MASTER MONTARO | 6.0% | 16.72 | 7 |
| 7 | 3 | SOLAR WAI WAI | 4.8% | 20.77 | 14 |
| 8 | 4 | STAR SHINE | 3.9% | 25.61 | 11 |
| 9 | 6 | RELIABLE TEAM | 2.5% | 40.10 | 1 |
| 10 | 5 | SUPER OASIS | 2.0% | 51.12 | 12 |
| 11 | 8 | GENERAL'S DELIGHT | 1.7% | 59.93 | 5 |
| 12 | 13 | TIANCHI MONSTER | 1.3% | 76.58 | 8 |
| 13 | 2 | PRECIOUSSHIP | 1.3% | 78.71 | 4 |
| 14 | 10 | REEL BIZZY | 1.1% | 87.73 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 494
PLACE
1 21
6 113
14 19
QUINELLA
1,6 1,338.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 425.5
1,14 51
6,14 372.5
FORECAST
6,1 4,224
TIERCE
6,1,14 17,596
TRIO
1,6,14 1,518
FIRST 4
1,2,6,14 12,930
QUARTET
6,1,14,2 527,819
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 34.5
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
4,10,13/1,6,14 259,903
9TH DOUBLE
4/1 25.5
4/6 1,069.5
SIX UP
5,13/6,11/3,8/1,7/4,13/1,6 852
13/6/8/1/4/6 701,334
1 [Z Purton] —
TREBLE
1/4/1 147
1/4/6 5,650