沙田 · 2021-04-11
第 2場
2021-04-11沙田第2場，Class 5，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、R Gibson訓練的CARRY THE DIAMOND勝出，贏出N。MAJESTIC CONQUEROR獲得亞軍；VALIANT ELEGANCE獲得季軍。3.9倍大熱門MAJESTIC CONQUEROR跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | CARRY THE DIAMOND PC 0.57.41 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · R Gibson | Z Purton | R Gibson | 11 | 6.1 | N |
| 2 | 1 | MAJESTIC CONQUEROR TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 12 | 3.9 | N |
| 3 | 5 | VALIANT ELEGANCE H-/B/TT C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 13 | 8.9 | 2 |
| 4 | 2 | SCENIC SWEETIE TT C Y Ho · Y S Tsui | C Y Ho | Y S Tsui | 14 | 11.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | GORGEOUS INHERITOR TT- M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 2 | 82.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 12 | ONE STEP AHEAD B/TT M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 1 | 15.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 10 | XIANG LAN QI B/TT2 K H Chan · K L Man | K H Chan | K L Man | 10 | 8.6 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 14 | LUCKY VICTOR B/TT A Badel · K H Ting | A Badel | K H Ting | 9 | 27.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | VIVA MAMA TT J Moreira · L Ho | J Moreira | L Ho | 3 | 5.3 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 7 | STAR SUPERIOR H N Wong · C W Chang | H N Wong | C W Chang | 8 | 30.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 11 | UNIVERSAL RECORD CP-/B1 R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 6 | 38.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 12 | 13 | FOR FUN'S SAKE B2/TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 5 | 12.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 13 | 4 | KELMIMI WINS B/TT K Teetan · D E Ferraris | K Teetan | D E Ferraris | 7 | 38.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 14 | 6 | EASY DAZZLING H-/B2/TT V Borges · K W Lui | V Borges | K W Lui | 4 | 121.0 | 16-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | VIVA MAMA | 22.0% | 4.55 | 9 |
| 2 | 3 | CARRY THE DIAMOND | 17.5% | 5.70 | 1 |
| 3 | 12 | ONE STEP AHEAD | 12.5% | 8.02 | 6 |
| 4 | 1 | MAJESTIC CONQUEROR | 11.9% | 8.42 | 2 |
| 5 | 5 | VALIANT ELEGANCE | 6.9% | 14.47 | 3 |
| 6 | 10 | XIANG LAN QI | 5.4% | 18.55 | 7 |
| 7 | 2 | SCENIC SWEETIE | 4.1% | 24.16 | 4 |
| 8 | 14 | LUCKY VICTOR | 3.9% | 25.84 | 8 |
| 9 | 7 | STAR SUPERIOR | 3.4% | 29.40 | 10 |
| 10 | 13 | FOR FUN'S SAKE | 3.1% | 32.06 | 12 |
| 11 | 4 | KELMIMI WINS | 3.0% | 32.89 | 13 |
| 12 | 11 | UNIVERSAL RECORD | 3.0% | 33.66 | 11 |
| 13 | 8 | GORGEOUS INHERITOR | 2.1% | 48.08 | 5 |
| 14 | 6 | EASY DAZZLING | 1.2% | 82.87 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 61
PLACE
1 16.5
3 19.5
5 27.5
QUINELLA
1,3 132
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 51.5
1,5 62
3,5 83
FORECAST
3,1 274
TIERCE
3,1,5 1,607
TRIO
1,3,5 256
FIRST 4
1,2,3,5 563
QUARTET
3,1,5,2 11,152
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
5/1 48
5/3 369.5
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 29
A3 —