沙田 · 2021-04-11
第 11場
2021-04-11沙田第11場，Class 2，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由M Chadwick策騎、T P Yung訓練的HINCHINLOVE勝出，贏出3/4。ROMAN TURBO獲得亞軍；SILVER EXPRESS獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.1倍大熱門SILVER EXPRESS跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | HINCHINLOVE 後段發力 B/TT 1.21.22 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 6 | 19.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 8 | ROMAN TURBO 後段發力 SR/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 12 | 6.7 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 6 | SILVER EXPRESS 後段發力 B J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 3 | 2.1 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 3 | SUPER WEALTHY H/XB/CP1 Z Purton · D J Whyte | Z Purton | D J Whyte | 14 | 10.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 1 | NOT USUAL TALENT 後段發力 TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 8 | 8.9 | 3/4 |
| 6 | 7 | HIGHLY PROACTIVE 早段領放 H/P/TT K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 5 | 11.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 12 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE 後段發力 V/TT V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 4 | 52.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 10 | FLAGSHIP GLORY 後段發力 H- K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 9 | 10.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 9 | 11 | GUY DRAGON XB/TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 1 | 17.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 10 | 2 | SHINING GEM CP C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 10 | 58.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 5 | RACING FIGHTER B/TT R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 2 | 75.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 4 | GOLD CHEST 後段發力 CP/TT M F Poon · R Gibson | M F Poon | R Gibson | 13 | 79.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 13 | 9 | ARTHUR'S KINGDOM H-/XB/B1 A Hamelin · Y S Tsui | A Hamelin | Y S Tsui | 7 | 79.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 14 | 14 | SUPER BUDDY B H T Mo · D A Hayes | H T Mo | D A Hayes | 11 | 160.0 | 7-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | SILVER EXPRESS | 20.5% | 4.88 | 3 |
| 2 | 8 | ROMAN TURBO | 13.7% | 7.28 | 2 |
| 3 | 10 | FLAGSHIP GLORY | 12.9% | 7.77 | 8 |
| 4 | 3 | SUPER WEALTHY | 10.4% | 9.64 | 4 |
| 5 | 7 | HIGHLY PROACTIVE | 9.2% | 10.84 | 6 |
| 6 | 11 | GUY DRAGON | 7.7% | 12.99 | 9 |
| 7 | 13 | HINCHINLOVE | 6.8% | 14.60 | 1 |
| 8 | 12 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE | 4.7% | 21.47 | 7 |
| 9 | 1 | NOT USUAL TALENT | 4.3% | 23.50 | 5 |
| 10 | 5 | RACING FIGHTER | 3.2% | 31.30 | 11 |
| 11 | 2 | SHINING GEM | 2.2% | 46.19 | 10 |
| 12 | 9 | ARTHUR'S KINGDOM | 1.7% | 59.69 | 13 |
| 13 | 4 | GOLD CHEST | 1.4% | 70.79 | 12 |
| 14 | 14 | SUPER BUDDY | 1.4% | 71.23 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
13 197.5
PLACE
6 13
8 21
13 42.5
QUINELLA
8,13 564.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,8 33.5
6,13 75
8,13 144.5
FORECAST
13,8 1,557
TIERCE
13,8,6 4,593
TRIO
6,8,13 340
FIRST 4
3,6,8,13 1,001
QUARTET
13,8,6,3 43,884
全部彩池（另 5 項）
10TH DOUBLE
5/8 40
5/13 999
3 PICK 1
A3 32
A2 —
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,5,11/6,8,13 33,302
SIX UP
4/2/2/10/5/13 656,511
4,7/2,9/2,5/3,10/5,11/8,13 5,070
1 [J Moreira] —
TREBLE
10/5/8 106
10/5/13 3,070