沙田 · 2021-04-11
第 3場
2021-04-11沙田第3場，Class 5，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由C L Chau策騎、A S Cruz訓練的GALAXY EMPEROR勝出，贏出1/2。KUNG FU TEA獲得亞軍；VICTORIOUS LEADER獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.9倍大熱門DESTIN跑獲第7名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | GALAXY EMPEROR 後段發力 B/H/TT 1.22.28 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 12 | 9.5 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 5 | KUNG FU TEA 後段發力 SR K C Leung · D J Hall | K C Leung | D J Hall | 13 | 6.4 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 13 | VICTORIOUS LEADER 後段發力 Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 3 | 4.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 12 | SPICY GRILL 後段發力 H/TT K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 14 | 9.4 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | APOLAR WARRIOR 後段發力 V V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 9 | 13.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 1 | WINNER'S HEART 早段領放 M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 4 | 25.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 4 | DESTIN 後段發力 B J Moreira · P O'Sullivan | J Moreira | P O'Sullivan | 2 | 3.9 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 8 | SURE WIN WIN 後段發力 B2 C Schofield · T P Yung | C Schofield | T P Yung | 10 | 15.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 14 | ALLOY KING B C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 1 | 10.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 6 | M M JOHNNY 後段發力 B A Badel · Y S Tsui | A Badel | Y S Tsui | 8 | 19.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 10 | LAOS ENLIGHTENMENT B/TT H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 6 | 55.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 11 | MONEYMORE 後段發力 V-/CP2 M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 11 | 39.0 | 8 |
| 13 | 7 | HAPPY RUBY H-/P-/XB/TT A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 7 | 170.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 14 | 3 | JOYFUL MOMENTS R Maia · C W Chang | R Maia | C W Chang | 5 | 63.0 | 10-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | DESTIN | 25.9% | 3.86 | 7 |
| 2 | 13 | VICTORIOUS LEADER | 17.6% | 5.67 | 3 |
| 3 | 1 | WINNER'S HEART | 11.1% | 8.98 | 6 |
| 4 | 12 | SPICY GRILL | 6.1% | 16.31 | 4 |
| 5 | 14 | ALLOY KING | 5.7% | 17.61 | 9 |
| 6 | 2 | GALAXY EMPEROR | 5.3% | 19.05 | 1 |
| 7 | 5 | KUNG FU TEA | 5.1% | 19.60 | 2 |
| 8 | 8 | SURE WIN WIN | 4.8% | 20.79 | 8 |
| 9 | 9 | APOLAR WARRIOR | 4.4% | 22.67 | 5 |
| 10 | 11 | MONEYMORE | 4.2% | 23.69 | 12 |
| 11 | 6 | M M JOHNNY | 4.0% | 25.04 | 10 |
| 12 | 10 | LAOS ENLIGHTENMENT | 3.0% | 33.22 | 11 |
| 13 | 3 | JOYFUL MOMENTS | 2.1% | 46.97 | 14 |
| 14 | 7 | HAPPY RUBY | 0.6% | 178.86 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 95
PLACE
2 26.5
5 24
13 18.5
QUINELLA
2,5 276.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 108.5
2,13 90
5,13 74
FORECAST
2,5 679
TIERCE
2,5,13 2,808
TRIO
2,5,13 484
FIRST 4
2,5,12,13 1,885
QUARTET
2,5,13,12 39,145
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE
3/2 428
3/5 88
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 31