沙田 · 2021-04-11
第 5場
2021-04-11沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Badel策騎、K L Man訓練的GLUCK RACER勝出，贏出N。VICTORY SCHOLARS獲得亞軍；RHAPSODY獲得季軍。3.7倍大熱門RHAPSODY跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | GLUCK RACER 1.09.46 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 7 | 5.2 | N |
| 2 | 8 | VICTORY SCHOLARS M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 11 | 6.9 | N |
| 3 | 7 | RHAPSODY J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 3 | 3.7 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 1 | SHADOW RUNNER B M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 14.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | GALLANT CAVALIER B C L Chau · A T Millard | C L Chau | A T Millard | 1 | 63.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | DIVINE ERA H/XB K Teetan · K H Ting | K Teetan | K H Ting | 4 | 4.9 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 11 | TRAVEL GLORY R Maia · C W Chang | R Maia | C W Chang | 2 | 18.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | LOVE ME MORE K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 10 | 85.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 9 | BRANDING POWER B-/PC1/TT1 Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 12 | 4.4 | 8-1/4 |
| 10 | 10 | TOWARDS SUCCESS H H W Lai · W Y So | H W Lai | W Y So | 8 | 236.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 12 | SMART HUNTER B/XB M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 9 | 68.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 2 | ALMIGHTY PEGASUS A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 6 | 111.0 | 11-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | DIVINE ERA | 19.9% | 5.02 | 6 |
| 2 | 7 | RHAPSODY | 18.6% | 5.37 | 3 |
| 3 | 9 | BRANDING POWER | 17.5% | 5.71 | 9 |
| 4 | 1 | SHADOW RUNNER | 14.3% | 6.98 | 4 |
| 5 | 5 | GLUCK RACER | 7.3% | 13.79 | 1 |
| 6 | 2 | ALMIGHTY PEGASUS | 6.7% | 14.94 | 12 |
| 7 | 11 | TRAVEL GLORY | 5.5% | 18.13 | 7 |
| 8 | 8 | VICTORY SCHOLARS | 4.5% | 22.04 | 2 |
| 9 | 12 | SMART HUNTER | 2.0% | 48.94 | 11 |
| 10 | 6 | LOVE ME MORE | 1.7% | 58.47 | 8 |
| 11 | 4 | GALLANT CAVALIER | 1.1% | 91.22 | 5 |
| 12 | 10 | TOWARDS SUCCESS | 0.8% | 127.01 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 52
PLACE
5 17
7 17.5
8 24
QUINELLA
5,8 169.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,7 50
5,8 64.5
7,8 60
FORECAST
5,8 315
TIERCE
5,8,7 2,000
TRIO
5,7,8 372
FIRST 4
1,5,7,8 595
QUARTET
5,8,7,1 14,888
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,8,12/5,7,8 1,701,869
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 20.5
4TH DOUBLE
8/5 601
8/8 239.5