Sha Tin · 2021-04-11
Race 5
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2021-04-11 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. GLUCK RACER, ridden by A Badel and trained by K L Man, won by N, with VICTORY SCHOLARS second and RHAPSODY third. The 3.7 favourite RHAPSODY finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | GLUCK RACER 1.09.46 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 7 | 5.2 | N |
| 2 | 8 | VICTORY SCHOLARS M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 11 | 6.9 | N |
| 3 | 7 | RHAPSODY J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 3 | 3.7 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 1 | SHADOW RUNNER B M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 14.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | GALLANT CAVALIER B C L Chau · A T Millard | C L Chau | A T Millard | 1 | 63.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | DIVINE ERA H/XB K Teetan · K H Ting | K Teetan | K H Ting | 4 | 4.9 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 11 | TRAVEL GLORY R Maia · C W Chang | R Maia | C W Chang | 2 | 18.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | LOVE ME MORE K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 10 | 85.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 9 | BRANDING POWER B-/PC1/TT1 Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 12 | 4.4 | 8-1/4 |
| 10 | 10 | TOWARDS SUCCESS H H W Lai · W Y So | H W Lai | W Y So | 8 | 236.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 12 | SMART HUNTER B/XB M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 9 | 68.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 2 | ALMIGHTY PEGASUS A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 6 | 111.0 | 11-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | DIVINE ERA | 19.9% | 5.02 | 6 |
| 2 | 7 | RHAPSODY | 18.6% | 5.37 | 3 |
| 3 | 9 | BRANDING POWER | 17.5% | 5.71 | 9 |
| 4 | 1 | SHADOW RUNNER | 14.3% | 6.98 | 4 |
| 5 | 5 | GLUCK RACER | 7.3% | 13.79 | 1 |
| 6 | 2 | ALMIGHTY PEGASUS | 6.7% | 14.94 | 12 |
| 7 | 11 | TRAVEL GLORY | 5.5% | 18.13 | 7 |
| 8 | 8 | VICTORY SCHOLARS | 4.5% | 22.04 | 2 |
| 9 | 12 | SMART HUNTER | 2.0% | 48.94 | 11 |
| 10 | 6 | LOVE ME MORE | 1.7% | 58.47 | 8 |
| 11 | 4 | GALLANT CAVALIER | 1.1% | 91.22 | 5 |
| 12 | 10 | TOWARDS SUCCESS | 0.8% | 127.01 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 52
PLACE
5 17
7 17.5
8 24
QUINELLA
5,8 169.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,7 50
5,8 64.5
7,8 60
FORECAST
5,8 315
TIERCE
5,8,7 2,000
TRIO
5,7,8 372
FIRST 4
1,5,7,8 595
QUARTET
5,8,7,1 14,888
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,8,12/5,7,8 1,701,869
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 20.5
4TH DOUBLE
8/5 601
8/8 239.5