Sha Tin · 2021-04-11
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2021-04-11 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. MY ECSTATIC, ridden by Z Purton and trained by F C Lor, won by 2, with SOLAR POWER second and GREEN REIGN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.6 favourite GREEN REIGN finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | MY ECSTATIC Closed strongly TT 1.21.85 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 11 | 6.7 | 2 |
| 2 | 7 | SOLAR POWER Closed strongly K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 9 | 6.1 | 2 |
| 3 | 1 | GREEN REIGN Closed strongly J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 2 | 3.6 | 2 |
| 4 | 13 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE Closed strongly B R Maia · P F Yiu | R Maia | P F Yiu | 6 | 10.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 14 | NOBLE MAN B/E/TT V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 14 | 58.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 12 | IRON KING H/TT M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 1 | 6.2 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 9 | OFF THE REEL Closed strongly C Schofield · P F Yiu | C Schofield | P F Yiu | 13 | 50.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 8 | LIGHT OF WANSHI TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 3 | 6.4 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | RED BRICK FIGHTER B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 12 | 18.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 6 | RED IMPACT CP C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | 4 | 50.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 11 | BREEZE OF SPRING V2/TT K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 10 | 14.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 3 | LITTLE BIRD Led early B/TT H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 7 | 53.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 13 | 2 | UNIVERSAL HERO Closed strongly C L Chau · Y S Tsui | C L Chau | Y S Tsui | 8 | 144.0 | 13 |
| 14 | 5 | ZELUS B H N Wong · C W Chang | H N Wong | C W Chang | 5 | 106.0 | 14-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | MY ECSTATIC | 25.6% | 3.91 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | GREEN REIGN | 16.5% | 6.07 | 3 |
| 3 | 13 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE | 13.2% | 7.60 | 4 |
| 4 | 12 | IRON KING | 8.7% | 11.48 | 6 |
| 5 | 7 | SOLAR POWER | 8.0% | 12.50 | 2 |
| 6 | 11 | BREEZE OF SPRING | 6.6% | 15.15 | 11 |
| 7 | 8 | LIGHT OF WANSHI | 6.0% | 16.56 | 8 |
| 8 | 10 | RED BRICK FIGHTER | 5.9% | 17.03 | 9 |
| 9 | 14 | NOBLE MAN | 2.9% | 34.08 | 5 |
| 10 | 9 | OFF THE REEL | 2.6% | 39.05 | 7 |
| 11 | 6 | RED IMPACT | 1.9% | 53.74 | 10 |
| 12 | 3 | LITTLE BIRD | 1.0% | 98.60 | 12 |
| 13 | 2 | UNIVERSAL HERO | 0.8% | 120.85 | 13 |
| 14 | 5 | ZELUS | 0.3% | 291.90 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 67
PLACE
1 17
4 22
7 23
QUINELLA
4,7 205
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 64
1,7 53.5
4,7 76
FORECAST
4,7 445
TIERCE
4,7,1 1,887
TRIO
1,4,7 293
FIRST 4
1,4,7,13 762
QUARTET
4,7,1,13 17,729
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 23.5
A3 —
A2 —
5TH DOUBLE
5/4 393.5
5/7 68.5