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Sha Tin · 2021-04-11

Race 7

Class 4 GOOD 1400m Course C 14 runners

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2021-04-11 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. EVERYONE'S DELIGHT, ridden by A Badel and trained by F C Lor, won by 1/2, with GREEN ENVY second and MASTER HERO third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.6 favourite DANDY YEARS finished 5th.

Result

Official · 1.21.90
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 2 EVERYONE'S DELIGHT Closed strongly V/TT 1.21.90 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · F C Lor 12 11.0 1/2
2 9 GREEN ENVY Closed strongly V/TT J Moreira · C Fownes 2 4.6 1/2
3 1 MASTER HERO Closed strongly XB/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz 1 6.7 1-1/4
4 7 SAM'S LOVE Closed strongly B-/TT R Maia · C H Yip 10 16.0 2
5 3 DANDY YEARS B/TT Z Purton · C S Shum 3 2.6 3
6 5 ULTIMATE GLORY Closed strongly B H W Lai · K L Man 9 34.0 3-3/4
7 6 PLIKCLONE B M F Poon · D J Hall 8 9.8 4-3/4
8 10 VOYAGE STAR Led early V/TT C L Chau · T P Yung 13 11.0 5-1/4
9 11 APEX TOP Closed strongly B A Hamelin · A T Millard 14 17.0 6-3/4
10 12 GRAND POWER Closed strongly H H T Mo · C W Chang 4 257.0 7-1/4
11 8 DIAMOND PIXIU C Schofield · P F Yiu 7 170.0 7-1/2
12 14 SPLIT OF A SECOND CP H N Wong · W Y So 5 149.0 7-1/2
13 13 BOND A STAR TT K C Leung · C H Yip 11 81.0 9-1/4
14 4 TWINX H1 C Y Ho · K W Lui 6 142.0 12-3/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. EVERYONE'S DELIGHT2. GREEN ENVY+0.5L3. MASTER HERO+1.25L4. SAM'S LOVE+2L5. DANDY YEARS+3L6. ULTIMATE GLORY+3.75L7. PLIKCLONE+4.75L8. VOYAGE STAR+5.25L9. APEX TOP+6.75L10. GRAND POWER+7.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2020-21
The model's top pick GREEN ENVY (29.5%) finished 2nd — the winner EVERYONE'S DELIGHT was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 9 GREEN ENVY 29.5% 3.39 2
2 3 DANDY YEARS 26.6% 3.76 5
3 1 MASTER HERO 15.2% 6.60 3
4 2 EVERYONE'S DELIGHT 7.0% 14.26 1
5 6 PLIKCLONE 6.0% 16.76 7
6 10 VOYAGE STAR 5.2% 19.35 8
7 11 APEX TOP 3.6% 27.50 9
8 7 SAM'S LOVE 2.8% 36.07 4
9 5 ULTIMATE GLORY 1.4% 69.02 6
10 8 DIAMOND PIXIU 0.9% 112.24 11
11 14 SPLIT OF A SECOND 0.6% 159.24 12
12 4 TWINX 0.5% 205.27 14
13 13 BOND A STAR 0.5% 217.45 13
14 12 GRAND POWER 0.3% 291.69 10
GREEN ENVYDANDY YEARSMASTER HEROEVERYONE'S DELIGHT — wonPLIKCLONEVOYAGE STARAPEX TOPSAM'S LOVEULTIMATE GLORYDIAMOND PIXIUSPLIT OF A SECONDTWINXBOND A STARGRAND POWER

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 110

PLACE

1 21

2 30

9 16.5

QUINELLA

2,9 302

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 129.5

1,9 55

2,9 94

FORECAST

2,9 650

TIERCE

2,9,1 4,198

TRIO

1,2,9 556

FIRST 4

1,2,7,9 1,699

QUARTET

2,9,1,7 39,380

All pools (4 more)

3 PICK 1

A2

A1

A3 33

6TH DOUBLE

4/2 563

4/9 88.5

TRIPLE TRIO

5,7,8/1,4,7/1,2,9 471,456

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

5,7,8/1,4,7/Any Combination 1,689