Sha Tin · 2021-04-11
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2021-04-11 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. COURIER WONDER, ridden by J Moreira and trained by J Size, won by 1/2, with TRILLION WIN second and SPEND third. Victory came as the 1.2 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | COURIER WONDER 1.08.59 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 8 | 1.2 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 5 | TRILLION WIN C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 4 | 9.1 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 3 | SPEND K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 1 | 56.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 1 | ALL IN MIND H/XB/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 5 | 9.3 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | DUBLIN STAR B/TT1 K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 2 | 21.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | SPEEDY MOUSE M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 10 | 41.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 4 | GOOD VIEW CLARICO A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 9 | 25.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 8 | MARVEL DRAGON TT R Maia · T P Yung | R Maia | T P Yung | 6 | 26.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | HALL OF CHAMP V-/TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 3 | 38.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 10 | FIRST RESPONDER B V Borges · D J Whyte | V Borges | D J Whyte | 7 | 61.0 | 7 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | COURIER WONDER | 56.2% | 1.78 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | ALL IN MIND | 13.8% | 7.27 | 4 |
| 3 | 4 | GOOD VIEW CLARICO | 7.2% | 13.90 | 7 |
| 4 | 5 | TRILLION WIN | 6.8% | 14.69 | 2 |
| 5 | 8 | MARVEL DRAGON | 5.5% | 18.08 | 8 |
| 6 | 7 | DUBLIN STAR | 3.5% | 28.45 | 5 |
| 7 | 9 | HALL OF CHAMP | 2.8% | 35.19 | 9 |
| 8 | 10 | FIRST RESPONDER | 2.1% | 47.77 | 10 |
| 9 | 6 | SPEEDY MOUSE | 1.4% | 71.63 | 6 |
| 10 | 3 | SPEND | 0.6% | 160.76 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 12.5
PLACE
2 10.1
3 74
5 19.5
QUINELLA
2,5 42.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 118.5
2,5 22
3,5 393.5
FORECAST
2,5 72
TIERCE
2,5,3 1,490
TRIO
2,3,5 419
FIRST 4
1,2,3,5 476
QUARTET
2,5,3,1 5,886
All pools (3 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,9/2,3,5 57,965
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 12.5
7TH DOUBLE
2/2 175
2/5 235