Sha Tin · 2021-04-11
Race 10
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2021-04-11 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. FANTASTIC TREASURE, ridden by C Schofield and trained by D A Hayes, won by N, with PERFECT PAIR second and WINNING METHOD third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.1 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | FANTASTIC TREASURE Closed strongly 1.21.39 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Schofield · D A Hayes | C Schofield | D A Hayes | 3 | 3.1 | N |
| 2 | 11 | PERFECT PAIR Closed strongly SR C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 9 | 16.0 | N |
| 3 | 1 | WINNING METHOD Closed strongly TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 1 | 6.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 10 | TRUE LEGEND Led early B K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 4 | 5.8 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 3 | BEAUTY FIT Closed strongly E J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 6 | 3.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 4 | STAR PERFORMANCE Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 7 | 22.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 6 | MEANINGFUL STAR Closed strongly B A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 5 | 105.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 2 | LEWIS B-/XB/V1/TT C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 2 | 9.2 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 8 | STOICISM B Shinn · D E Ferraris | B Shinn | D E Ferraris | 8 | 42.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 7 | COMPASSION SPIRIT B K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 10 | 33.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 9 | PASSING FASHION H H N Wong · C H Yip | H N Wong | C H Yip | 11 | 200.0 | 9-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | BEAUTY FIT | 27.3% | 3.66 | 5 |
| 2 | 5 | FANTASTIC TREASURE | 20.6% | 4.85 | 1 |
| 3 | 1 | WINNING METHOD | 18.9% | 5.29 | 3 |
| 4 | 10 | TRUE LEGEND | 14.1% | 7.07 | 4 |
| 5 | 2 | LEWIS | 6.4% | 15.74 | 8 |
| 6 | 4 | STAR PERFORMANCE | 4.5% | 21.98 | 6 |
| 7 | 7 | COMPASSION SPIRIT | 3.5% | 28.63 | 10 |
| 8 | 11 | PERFECT PAIR | 2.4% | 41.98 | 2 |
| 9 | 8 | STOICISM | 1.2% | 84.28 | 9 |
| 10 | 6 | MEANINGFUL STAR | 0.8% | 132.46 | 7 |
| 11 | 9 | PASSING FASHION | 0.3% | 323.37 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 31
PLACE
1 18.5
5 16
11 34.5
QUINELLA
5,11 315
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 41.5
1,11 135
5,11 106
FORECAST
5,11 311
TIERCE
5,11,1 2,058
TRIO
1,5,11 489
FIRST 4
1,5,10,11 424
QUARTET
5,11,1,10 6,602
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 17
A3 —
9TH DOUBLE
10/5 79.5
10/11 70.5