Sha Tin · 2021-04-11
Race 9
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LOOKING GREAT Closed strongly 1.46.30 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 3 | 2.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | CALIFORNIA TEN Closed strongly CP/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 12 | 19.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | CHAMPION SUPREME Closed strongly B/TT M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 1 | 23.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | RIGHT CHOICE B B Shinn · F C Lor | B Shinn | F C Lor | 6 | 10.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | VINCY Closed strongly SR/TT C Y Ho · D J Whyte | C Y Ho | D J Whyte | 11 | 9.8 | 5-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | ALPHA HEDGE CP V Borges · K W Lui | V Borges | K W Lui | 2 | 80.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | PAKISTAN FRIEND Led early TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 4 | 5.3 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | GOD OF DRAGON Closed strongly H/XB/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 7 | 15.0 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | BELUGA H Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 10 | 5.4 | 9-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | TASHIDELEK B C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 8 | 40.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | CINQUANTE CINQ K H Chan · T P Yung | K H Chan | T P Yung | 13 | 73.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | MURRAY'S PARTNERS V- H N Wong · C H Yip | H N Wong | C H Yip | 5 | 97.0 | 15-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | BLASTOISE CP A Hamelin · D E Ferraris | A Hamelin | D E Ferraris | 9 | 38.0 | 17-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2021-04-11 was Class 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. LOOKING GREAT, ridden by J Moreira and trained by F C Lor, won by 1-3/4, with CALIFORNIA TEN second and CHAMPION SUPREME third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.5 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LOOKING GREAT | 37.4% | 2.67 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | PAKISTAN FRIEND | 16.4% | 6.10 | 7 |
| 3 | 0 | BELUGA | 14.2% | 7.04 | 9 |
| 4 | 0 | VINCY | 5.4% | 18.41 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | RIGHT CHOICE | 4.8% | 20.64 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | BLASTOISE | 3.8% | 26.38 | 13 |
| 7 | 0 | CINQUANTE CINQ | 3.1% | 32.44 | 11 |
| 8 | 0 | GOD OF DRAGON | 3.0% | 33.49 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | CALIFORNIA TEN | 2.9% | 34.36 | 2 |
| 10 | 0 | ALPHA HEDGE | 2.8% | 35.51 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | TASHIDELEK | 2.7% | 37.40 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | CHAMPION SUPREME | 2.4% | 42.02 | 3 |
| 13 | 0 | MURRAY'S PARTNERS | 1.1% | 93.63 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 25
PLACE
3 51
8 60
10 12.5
QUINELLA
3,10 224.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,8 632.5
3,10 85
8,10 105
FORECAST
10,3 309
TIERCE
10,3,8 4,778
TRIO
3,8,10 1,731
FIRST 4
3,8,9,10 2,945
QUARTET
10,3,8,9 45,598
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 17
8TH DOUBLE
2/3 50.5
2/10 30