沙田 · 2021-04-11
第 6場
2021-04-11沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、F C Lor訓練的MY ECSTATIC勝出，贏出2。SOLAR POWER獲得亞軍；GREEN REIGN獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.6倍大熱門GREEN REIGN跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | MY ECSTATIC 後段發力 TT 1.21.85 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 11 | 6.7 | 2 |
| 2 | 7 | SOLAR POWER 後段發力 K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 9 | 6.1 | 2 |
| 3 | 1 | GREEN REIGN 後段發力 J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 2 | 3.6 | 2 |
| 4 | 13 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE 後段發力 B R Maia · P F Yiu | R Maia | P F Yiu | 6 | 10.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 14 | NOBLE MAN B/E/TT V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 14 | 58.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 12 | IRON KING H/TT M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 1 | 6.2 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 9 | OFF THE REEL 後段發力 C Schofield · P F Yiu | C Schofield | P F Yiu | 13 | 50.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 8 | LIGHT OF WANSHI TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 3 | 6.4 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | RED BRICK FIGHTER B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 12 | 18.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 6 | RED IMPACT CP C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | 4 | 50.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 11 | BREEZE OF SPRING V2/TT K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 10 | 14.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 3 | LITTLE BIRD 早段領放 B/TT H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 7 | 53.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 13 | 2 | UNIVERSAL HERO 後段發力 C L Chau · Y S Tsui | C L Chau | Y S Tsui | 8 | 144.0 | 13 |
| 14 | 5 | ZELUS B H N Wong · C W Chang | H N Wong | C W Chang | 5 | 106.0 | 14-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | MY ECSTATIC | 25.6% | 3.91 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | GREEN REIGN | 16.5% | 6.07 | 3 |
| 3 | 13 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE | 13.2% | 7.60 | 4 |
| 4 | 12 | IRON KING | 8.7% | 11.48 | 6 |
| 5 | 7 | SOLAR POWER | 8.0% | 12.50 | 2 |
| 6 | 11 | BREEZE OF SPRING | 6.6% | 15.15 | 11 |
| 7 | 8 | LIGHT OF WANSHI | 6.0% | 16.56 | 8 |
| 8 | 10 | RED BRICK FIGHTER | 5.9% | 17.03 | 9 |
| 9 | 14 | NOBLE MAN | 2.9% | 34.08 | 5 |
| 10 | 9 | OFF THE REEL | 2.6% | 39.05 | 7 |
| 11 | 6 | RED IMPACT | 1.9% | 53.74 | 10 |
| 12 | 3 | LITTLE BIRD | 1.0% | 98.60 | 12 |
| 13 | 2 | UNIVERSAL HERO | 0.8% | 120.85 | 13 |
| 14 | 5 | ZELUS | 0.3% | 291.90 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 67
PLACE
1 17
4 22
7 23
QUINELLA
4,7 205
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 64
1,7 53.5
4,7 76
FORECAST
4,7 445
TIERCE
4,7,1 1,887
TRIO
1,4,7 293
FIRST 4
1,4,7,13 762
QUARTET
4,7,1,13 17,729
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 23.5
A3 —
A2 —
5TH DOUBLE
5/4 393.5
5/7 68.5