沙田 · 2021-04-11
第 4場
2021-04-11沙田第4場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Schofield策騎、J Size訓練的DRAGON BABY勝出，贏出3/4。HAPPY GOOD GUYS獲得亞軍；ISLAND SUNSHINE獲得季軍。2.4倍大熱門HUGE TIGER跑獲第12名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | DRAGON BABY TT1 0.56.98 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | 5 | 7.9 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 1 | HAPPY GOOD GUYS B H N Wong · P F Yiu | H N Wong | P F Yiu | 4 | 44.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 12 | ISLAND SUNSHINE V-/PC1 K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 1 | 124.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 10 | SUGAMO TT1 J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 10 | 4.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | POISED TO STRIKE XB-/CP1 B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 7 | 19.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 4 | CORRIENTHES SR R Maia · D E Ferraris | R Maia | D E Ferraris | 12 | 103.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 13 | SPARKLING DOLPHIN H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 14 | 17.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 3 | TAKE WHAT YOU NEED V C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 3 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 6 | CHIU CHOW BROTHER CP1 A Badel · T P Yung | A Badel | T P Yung | 6 | 11.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 5 | GOKO B/XB/TT A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 9 | 11.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 14 | FARIBAULT CP M F Poon · P O'Sullivan | M F Poon | P O'Sullivan | 8 | 116.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 9 | HUGE TIGER B1/TT1 Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 11 | 2.4 | 5-3/4 |
| 13 | 11 | JUMBO ENGINE B-/XB- C Wong · R Gibson | C Wong | R Gibson | 13 | 179.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 14 | 7 | CORDYCEPS FIVE V Borges · K H Ting | V Borges | K H Ting | 2 | 147.0 | 13 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | HUGE TIGER | 25.7% | 3.88 | 12 |
| 2 | 10 | SUGAMO | 20.4% | 4.89 | 4 |
| 3 | 3 | TAKE WHAT YOU NEED | 14.0% | 7.16 | 8 |
| 4 | 8 | DRAGON BABY | 8.5% | 11.71 | 1 |
| 5 | 5 | GOKO | 7.3% | 13.61 | 10 |
| 6 | 13 | SPARKLING DOLPHIN | 5.8% | 17.24 | 7 |
| 7 | 7 | CORDYCEPS FIVE | 4.1% | 24.32 | 14 |
| 8 | 6 | CHIU CHOW BROTHER | 3.8% | 26.56 | 9 |
| 9 | 14 | FARIBAULT | 2.1% | 47.80 | 11 |
| 10 | 2 | POISED TO STRIKE | 2.1% | 48.49 | 5 |
| 11 | 1 | HAPPY GOOD GUYS | 1.9% | 51.59 | 2 |
| 12 | 12 | ISLAND SUNSHINE | 1.9% | 53.42 | 3 |
| 13 | 4 | CORRIENTHES | 1.2% | 82.09 | 6 |
| 14 | 11 | JUMBO ENGINE | 1.1% | 91.75 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 79
PLACE
1 93.5
8 26.5
12 236.5
QUINELLA
1,8 1,725.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 478.5
1,12 2,701
8,12 1,319.5
FORECAST
8,1 2,108
TIERCE
8,1,12 124,207
TRIO
1,8,12 40,270
FIRST 4
1,8,10,12 29,308
QUARTET
8,1,12,10 1,137,690
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 31
A1 —
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE
2/1 576.5
2/8 1,809