跑馬地 · 2021-05-05
第 4場
2021-05-05跑馬地第4場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由K Teetan策騎、R Gibson訓練的FORTUNE HERO勝出，贏出1/2。AMBITIOUS HEART獲得亞軍；INNO LEGEND獲得季軍。頭馬以3.1倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | FORTUNE HERO B/TT 1.09.66 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · R Gibson | K Teetan | R Gibson | 3 | 3.1 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 3 | AMBITIOUS HEART B/TT C L Chau · D E Ferraris | C L Chau | D E Ferraris | 7 | 10.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 6 | INNO LEGEND CP K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 6 | 8.8 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 9 | MELBOURNE HALL H/XB A Hamelin · D J Hall | A Hamelin | D J Hall | 4 | 10.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 10 | MOONLUCK Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 8 | 8.3 | 1 |
| 6 | 8 | STORMTROUPER XB- M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 10 | 80.0 | 1 |
| 7 | 1 | WHISKEY NEAT H/V/TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 1 | 4.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 8 | 7 | WIN TECH V Borges · P O'Sullivan | V Borges | P O'Sullivan | 2 | 77.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 11 | RAGING BLAZE P1/TT C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | 5 | 48.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 4 | PEAK TO PEAK SR/TT J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 11 | 6.4 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 2 | POISED TO STRIKE CP/TT1 B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 12 | 23.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 5 | BULLISH BROTHER B/TT M L Yeung · A S Cruz | M L Yeung | A S Cruz | 9 | 88.0 | 13-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | FORTUNE HERO | 25.0% | 4.00 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | PEAK TO PEAK | 15.9% | 6.28 | 10 |
| 3 | 10 | MOONLUCK | 15.0% | 6.67 | 5 |
| 4 | 1 | WHISKEY NEAT | 14.1% | 7.10 | 7 |
| 5 | 6 | INNO LEGEND | 7.4% | 13.59 | 3 |
| 6 | 9 | MELBOURNE HALL | 7.1% | 14.14 | 4 |
| 7 | 2 | POISED TO STRIKE | 6.2% | 16.26 | 11 |
| 8 | 3 | AMBITIOUS HEART | 3.8% | 26.30 | 2 |
| 9 | 11 | RAGING BLAZE | 2.4% | 41.30 | 9 |
| 10 | 5 | BULLISH BROTHER | 1.3% | 77.22 | 12 |
| 11 | 7 | WIN TECH | 1.2% | 83.92 | 8 |
| 12 | 8 | STORMTROUPER | 0.7% | 137.53 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 31.5
PLACE
3 29
6 27.5
12 14
QUINELLA
3,12 142.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 145.5
3,12 51
6,12 74.5
FORECAST
12,3 269
TIERCE
12,3,6 1,824
TRIO
3,6,12 513
FIRST 4
3,6,9,12 679
QUARTET
12,3,6,9 10,067
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 19
3RD DOUBLE
1/3 40
1/12 80