跑馬地 · 2021-05-05
第 8場
2021-05-05跑馬地第8場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由J Moreira策騎、P F Yiu訓練的MAJESTIC STAR勝出，贏出1-1/2。KINDA COOL獲得亞軍；HARMONY N BLESSED獲得季軍。頭馬以3.1倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | MAJESTIC STAR 1.09.55 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · P F Yiu | J Moreira | P F Yiu | 1 | 3.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 2 | KINDA COOL B Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 4 | 6.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 6 | HARMONY N BLESSED XB/BO1/TT B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 10 | 4.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 5 | SPECIAL M B1 K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 6 | 12.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 12 | WINSTON'S LAD B M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 2 | 57.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | WINE AND WINE TT R Maia · T P Yung | R Maia | T P Yung | 9 | 27.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 10 | FIGHTING STAR XB/TT A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 7 | 11.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 11 | HAPPY GOOD GUYS B H N Wong · P F Yiu | H N Wong | P F Yiu | 3 | 41.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 8 | TRANSCENDENT CP/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 8 | 7.4 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 1 | CAPITAL STAR B K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 12 | 10.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 9 | CASIMIRO K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 63.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 4 | BEAUTY AMIGO B/TT1 M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 11 | 76.0 | 9-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | MAJESTIC STAR | 25.0% | 4.01 | 1 |
| 2 | 6 | HARMONY N BLESSED | 16.8% | 5.94 | 3 |
| 3 | 1 | CAPITAL STAR | 15.8% | 6.32 | 10 |
| 4 | 2 | KINDA COOL | 11.3% | 8.82 | 2 |
| 5 | 5 | SPECIAL M | 6.2% | 16.17 | 4 |
| 6 | 8 | TRANSCENDENT | 6.2% | 16.18 | 9 |
| 7 | 10 | FIGHTING STAR | 6.2% | 16.18 | 7 |
| 8 | 3 | WINE AND WINE | 5.6% | 17.70 | 6 |
| 9 | 11 | HAPPY GOOD GUYS | 2.3% | 44.38 | 8 |
| 10 | 9 | CASIMIRO | 2.1% | 46.54 | 11 |
| 11 | 4 | BEAUTY AMIGO | 1.3% | 77.35 | 12 |
| 12 | 12 | WINSTON'S LAD | 1.2% | 86.34 | 5 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 31
PLACE
2 18
6 17.5
7 15
QUINELLA
2,7 103
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 47
2,7 41
6,7 31.5
FORECAST
7,2 135
TIERCE
7,2,6 607
TRIO
2,6,7 131
FIRST 4
2,5,6,7 421
QUARTET
7,2,6,5 5,221
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 22
A3 —
7TH DOUBLE
3/2 45.5
3/7 106.5