跑馬地 · 2021-05-05
第 7場
2021-05-05跑馬地第7場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由C L Chau策騎、D J Whyte訓練的MCLUCKY勝出，贏出1/2。STOCK LEGEND獲得亞軍；HARMONY N HOME獲得季軍。頭馬以3.4倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | MCLUCKY SR 1.09.37 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 2 | 3.4 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 4 | STOCK LEGEND H/TT Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 1 | 4.9 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 5 | HARMONY N HOME K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 4 | 23.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 9 | WOOD ON FIRE H/V/TT K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 7 | 24.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 2 | DANCING FIGHTER B/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 5 | 6.1 | 4 |
| 6 | 1 | STANLEY PARK B B Shinn · D E Ferraris | B Shinn | D E Ferraris | 3 | 7.9 | 4 |
| 7 | 11 | FORTE XB/TT M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 6 | 12.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 8 | STRIVE FOR GLORY XB-/TT C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 10 | 68.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 10 | ISLAND SHINE B M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 8 | 8.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 7 | PING HAI GALAXY A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 9 | 24.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 6 | KAI XIN DRAGON TT C Schofield · D A Hayes | C Schofield | D A Hayes | 11 | 12.0 | 6-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | STOCK LEGEND | 35.4% | 2.82 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | DANCING FIGHTER | 19.4% | 5.17 | 5 |
| 3 | 3 | MCLUCKY | 9.7% | 10.27 | 1 |
| 4 | 1 | STANLEY PARK | 6.4% | 15.52 | 6 |
| 5 | 9 | WOOD ON FIRE | 4.9% | 20.55 | 4 |
| 6 | 5 | HARMONY N HOME | 4.7% | 21.46 | 3 |
| 7 | 10 | ISLAND SHINE | 4.4% | 22.65 | 9 |
| 8 | 11 | FORTE | 4.1% | 24.18 | 7 |
| 9 | 7 | PING HAI GALAXY | 3.9% | 25.66 | 10 |
| 10 | 8 | STRIVE FOR GLORY | 3.6% | 28.13 | 8 |
| 11 | 6 | KAI XIN DRAGON | 3.5% | 28.46 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 34
PLACE
3 14
4 17.5
5 57.5
QUINELLA
3,4 76.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 29.5
3,5 117.5
4,5 110.5
FORECAST
3,4 130
TIERCE
3,4,5 995
TRIO
3,4,5 250
FIRST 4
3,4,5,9 482
QUARTET
3,4,5,9 6,178
全部彩池（另 5 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,4/3,4,5 87,424
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 20
6TH DOUBLE
3/3 360
3/4 105.5
TRIPLE TRIO
2,5,7/2,3,4/3,4,5 2,982,851
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,5,7/2,3,4/Any Combination 16,970