跑馬地 · 2021-05-05
第 9場
2021-05-05跑馬地第9場，Class 2，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由A Badel策騎、C S Shum訓練的HANDSOME BO BO勝出，贏出1。IGNITING獲得亞軍；SNAP FIT獲得季軍。頭馬以3.5倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | HANDSOME BO BO TT 1.08.66 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 3 | 3.5 | 1 |
| 2 | 10 | IGNITING B M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 4 | 3.7 | 1 |
| 3 | 11 | SNAP FIT B/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 7 | 15.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 3 | SHINING GEM CP H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 1 | 12.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | CALIFORNIA RAD B/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 10 | 9.5 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | HONG KONG BET TT C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 8 | 22.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 12 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE V/TT H W Lai · W Y So | H W Lai | W Y So | 6 | 55.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 7 | LOBO'S LEGEND K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 25.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 9 | 8 | GUY DRAGON XB/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 9 | 8.0 | 9 |
| 10 | 6 | WIND N GRASS TT K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 11 | 13.0 | 9 |
| 11 | 1 | WILL POWER XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 12 | 14.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 12 | 4 | SILVER FIG B/TT A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 2 | 28.0 | 15 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | IGNITING | 20.4% | 4.89 | 2 |
| 2 | 8 | GUY DRAGON | 16.8% | 5.97 | 9 |
| 3 | 5 | HANDSOME BO BO | 10.7% | 9.34 | 1 |
| 4 | 11 | SNAP FIT | 8.8% | 11.31 | 3 |
| 5 | 4 | SILVER FIG | 8.7% | 11.55 | 12 |
| 6 | 7 | LOBO'S LEGEND | 5.7% | 17.49 | 8 |
| 7 | 1 | WILL POWER | 5.6% | 17.71 | 11 |
| 8 | 3 | SHINING GEM | 5.4% | 18.59 | 4 |
| 9 | 2 | CALIFORNIA RAD | 5.2% | 19.15 | 5 |
| 10 | 6 | WIND N GRASS | 5.1% | 19.74 | 10 |
| 11 | 9 | HONG KONG BET | 3.8% | 26.24 | 6 |
| 12 | 12 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE | 3.8% | 26.52 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 35
PLACE
5 17
10 16
11 42
QUINELLA
5,10 63.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,10 29.5
5,11 95
10,11 99.5
FORECAST
5,10 120
TIERCE
5,10,11 948
TRIO
5,10,11 246
FIRST 4
3,5,10,11 636
QUARTET
5,10,11,3 7,287
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 18
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,6,7/5,10,11 6,177
8TH DOUBLE
7/5 87.5
7/10 27
SIX UP
3,12/5,7/3,4/3,4/2,7/5,10 1,848
12/5/3/3/7/5 53,653
4 [C L Chau] —
TREBLE
3/7/5 259
3/7/10 88