跑馬地 · 2021-05-05
第 5場
2021-05-05跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由Z Purton策騎、C S Shum訓練的EXUBERANT勝出，贏出2-1/4。WINNING DELAGO獲得亞軍；TAKE WHAT YOU NEED獲得季軍。頭馬以3.5倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | EXUBERANT B/TT 1.09.63 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 1 | 3.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 7 | WINNING DELAGO H1 C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 5 | 7.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 2 | TAKE WHAT YOU NEED V-/B2 C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 3 | 5.3 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | VIGOR CHAMP B K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 2 | 4.4 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 4 | ACA POWER H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 7 | 102.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 11 | DEMONS ROCK B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 6 | 73.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 12 | CHAMPION PRIDE TT V Borges · D E Ferraris | V Borges | D E Ferraris | 12 | 12.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 8 | WON BALL TT K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 4 | 14.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 3 | SHINING ON C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 11 | 50.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 1 | SHOWINA B B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 9 | 10.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 9 | STEEL WIN B A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 8 | 13.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 10 | DAY DAY RICH B/TT R Maia · T P Yung | R Maia | T P Yung | 10 | 78.0 | 15-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | VIGOR CHAMP | 24.4% | 4.09 | 4 |
| 2 | 5 | EXUBERANT | 19.4% | 5.15 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | TAKE WHAT YOU NEED | 11.5% | 8.68 | 3 |
| 4 | 8 | WON BALL | 10.0% | 10.03 | 8 |
| 5 | 1 | SHOWINA | 9.1% | 10.96 | 10 |
| 6 | 12 | CHAMPION PRIDE | 6.5% | 15.29 | 7 |
| 7 | 7 | WINNING DELAGO | 6.2% | 16.03 | 2 |
| 8 | 11 | DEMONS ROCK | 3.8% | 25.99 | 6 |
| 9 | 3 | SHINING ON | 3.7% | 26.77 | 9 |
| 10 | 9 | STEEL WIN | 3.0% | 32.94 | 11 |
| 11 | 4 | ACA POWER | 1.1% | 88.36 | 5 |
| 12 | 10 | DAY DAY RICH | 1.0% | 99.48 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 35
PLACE
2 15
5 15.5
7 27
QUINELLA
5,7 130
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 34
2,7 59
5,7 51
FORECAST
5,7 220
TIERCE
5,7,2 951
TRIO
2,5,7 210
FIRST 4
2,5,6,7 177
QUARTET
5,7,2,6 3,703
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
3,6,12/2,5,7 14,091
3 PICK 1
A1 21
A3 —
A2 —
4TH DOUBLE
12/5 108
12/7 69