跑馬地 · 2021-05-05
第 3場
2021-05-05跑馬地第3場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由C L Chau策騎、D J Whyte訓練的HARMONY FIRE勝出，贏出2。SUPER COMMANDER獲得亞軍；HAPPY GATHERING獲得季軍。頭馬以1.7倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | HARMONY FIRE XB 0.56.74 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 1 | 1.7 | 2 |
| 2 | 3 | SUPER COMMANDER TT B Shinn · D E Ferraris | B Shinn | D E Ferraris | 11 | 17.0 | 2 |
| 3 | 9 | HAPPY GATHERING B1 M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 6 | 11.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 8 | HAPPY TIME TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 12 | 17.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 2 | CIRCUIT SEVEN H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 2 | 20.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 5 | SUGAMO TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 9 | 7.6 | 5 |
| 7 | 10 | VERY SWEET ORANGE V C Wong · Y S Tsui | C Wong | Y S Tsui | 3 | 12.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 12 | BOND A STAR TT H N Wong · C H Yip | H N Wong | C H Yip | 7 | 126.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 6 | GIVE WAY PLEASE XB-/SR1/TT1 K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 8 | 8.9 | 7 |
| 10 | 7 | EVERYONE'S VICTORY H/TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 10 | 32.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 4 | POWER PROFIT B1/TT1 A Hamelin · C S Shum | A Hamelin | C S Shum | 4 | 69.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | PRECIOUS SWEETIE CP-/H/TT M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 5 | 56.0 | 24-1/4 |
| — | 0 | NOIR RIDER Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | HARMONY FIRE | 23.7% | 4.22 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | SUGAMO | 21.5% | 4.66 | 6 |
| 3 | 6 | GIVE WAY PLEASE | 11.7% | 8.58 | 9 |
| 4 | 3 | SUPER COMMANDER | 8.0% | 12.53 | 2 |
| 5 | 9 | HAPPY GATHERING | 7.9% | 12.72 | 3 |
| 6 | 7 | EVERYONE'S VICTORY | 6.9% | 14.51 | 10 |
| 7 | 4 | POWER PROFIT | 6.3% | 15.89 | 11 |
| 8 | 10 | VERY SWEET ORANGE | 4.4% | 22.58 | 7 |
| 9 | 8 | HAPPY TIME | 4.3% | 23.07 | 4 |
| 10 | 2 | CIRCUIT SEVEN | 2.3% | 43.50 | 5 |
| 11 | 11 | PRECIOUS SWEETIE | 2.2% | 46.21 | 12 |
| 12 | 12 | BOND A STAR | 0.9% | 111.05 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 17.5
PLACE
1 11
3 37.5
9 27.5
QUINELLA
1,3 133
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 51.5
1,9 41.5
3,9 221.5
FORECAST
1,3 198
TIERCE
1,3,9 1,234
TRIO
1,3,9 440
FIRST 4
1,3,8,9 820
QUARTET
1,3,9,8 9,694
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE
2/1 55.5
2/3 169
3 PICK 1
A1 15.5
A2 —
A3 —