跑馬地 · 2021-06-09
第 3場
2021-06-09跑馬地第3場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由K Teetan策騎、Y S Tsui訓練的TELECOM SMART勝出，贏出1-1/4。ARES獲得亞軍；ICE LEGEND獲得季軍。頭馬以3.8倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | TELECOM SMART TT 1.10.05 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 7 | 3.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 3 | ARES C L Chau · F C Lor | C L Chau | F C Lor | 8 | 3.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 5 | ICE LEGEND H/TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 3 | 4.1 | 2 |
| 4 | 4 | HARDLY SWEARS M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 5 | 6.8 | 2 |
| 5 | 2 | WINSTON'S LAD B H N Wong · K W Lui | H N Wong | K W Lui | 1 | 15.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 7 | AMAZEMENT B J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 10 | 15.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 11 | KING'S TROOPER CP/TT T Piccone · P F Yiu | T Piccone | P F Yiu | 6 | 21.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 8 | EVER JOY XB N Callan · P O'Sullivan | N Callan | P O'Sullivan | 4 | 37.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 6 | ULTIMATE FOCUS SR1 Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 2 | 15.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 10 | PRINCE OF BON BON B M F Poon · D E Ferraris | M F Poon | D E Ferraris | 12 | 80.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 12 | SURE WINNER B M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 11 | 131.0 | 10 |
| 12 | 9 | ALMIGHTY PEGASUS R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 9 | 164.0 | 12-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | TELECOM SMART | 21.1% | 4.75 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | ICE LEGEND | 20.9% | 4.78 | 3 |
| 3 | 6 | ULTIMATE FOCUS | 14.0% | 7.13 | 9 |
| 4 | 3 | ARES | 13.5% | 7.42 | 2 |
| 5 | 7 | AMAZEMENT | 10.5% | 9.53 | 6 |
| 6 | 4 | HARDLY SWEARS | 6.6% | 15.25 | 4 |
| 7 | 10 | PRINCE OF BON BON | 4.1% | 24.68 | 10 |
| 8 | 8 | EVER JOY | 3.3% | 30.65 | 8 |
| 9 | 11 | KING'S TROOPER | 2.9% | 34.64 | 7 |
| 10 | 2 | WINSTON'S LAD | 1.4% | 72.79 | 5 |
| 11 | 12 | SURE WINNER | 1.3% | 75.88 | 11 |
| 12 | 9 | ALMIGHTY PEGASUS | 0.6% | 174.90 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 38
PLACE
1 15
3 14.5
5 16.5
QUINELLA
1,3 81
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 32
1,5 31
3,5 34.5
FORECAST
1,3 144
TIERCE
1,3,5 466
TRIO
1,3,5 85
FIRST 4
1,3,4,5 103
QUARTET
1,3,5,4 1,793
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE
5/1 127.5
5/3 36.5
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 19