跑馬地 · 2021-06-09
第 5場
2021-06-09跑馬地第5場，Class 3，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由C L Chau策騎、D J Whyte訓練的HARMONY FIRE勝出，贏出1-1/2。HEART CONQUERED獲得亞軍；LIKE THAT獲得季軍。4.2倍大熱門TRADER跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | HARMONY FIRE XB 0.57.20 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 9 | 6.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 6 | HEART CONQUERED T Piccone · R Gibson | T Piccone | R Gibson | 7 | 9.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 9 | LIKE THAT V K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 12 | 15.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 11 | TRADER B/TT J Moreira · D A Hayes | J Moreira | D A Hayes | 4 | 4.2 | 3 |
| 5 | 12 | PEGASUS GLORY B C Wong · Y S Tsui | C Wong | Y S Tsui | 11 | 11.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 4 | LARSON CP/TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 5 | 4.5 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 1 | GREEN AEON H/TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 3 | 5.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 7 | SMART LEADER B/TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 6 | 71.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 2 | SMOKEY BEAR M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 8 | 28.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 10 | 8 | GENTLE BREEZE H- K H Chan · P F Yiu | K H Chan | P F Yiu | 1 | 44.0 | 14-1/4 |
| 11 | 3 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE V/TT H W Lai · W Y So | H W Lai | W Y So | 10 | 117.0 | 30-1/2 |
| — | 10 | CANTSTOPTHEFEELING B/TT H Bentley · K L Man | H Bentley | K L Man | 2 | 14.0 | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | HARMONY FIRE | 26.9% | 3.72 | 1 |
| 2 | 11 | TRADER | 18.3% | 5.45 | 4 |
| 3 | 4 | LARSON | 17.0% | 5.90 | 6 |
| 4 | 1 | GREEN AEON | 12.0% | 8.34 | 7 |
| 5 | 9 | LIKE THAT | 9.6% | 10.39 | 3 |
| 6 | 12 | PEGASUS GLORY | 4.8% | 20.77 | 5 |
| 7 | 6 | HEART CONQUERED | 4.5% | 22.11 | 2 |
| 8 | 2 | SMOKEY BEAR | 2.7% | 37.10 | 9 |
| 9 | 8 | GENTLE BREEZE | 2.2% | 46.05 | 10 |
| 10 | 3 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE | 1.3% | 78.54 | 11 |
| 11 | 7 | SMART LEADER | 0.7% | 133.34 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 64.5
PLACE
5 25
6 23.5
9 49.5
QUINELLA
5,6 326
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 96.5
5,9 146
6,9 234
FORECAST
5,6 577
TIERCE
5,6,9 5,041
TRIO
5,6,9 1,256
FIRST 4
5,6,9,11 1,354
QUARTET
5,6,9,11 29,912
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,9/5,6,9 33,400
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 28.5
4TH DOUBLE
9/5 518.5
9/6 247.5