跑馬地 · 2021-06-09
第 2場
2021-06-09跑馬地第2場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由Z Purton策騎、C S Shum訓練的PACKING VICTORY勝出，贏出2-1/2。MELBOURNE HALL獲得亞軍；UNIVERSAL GO GO獲得季軍。頭馬以3.0倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | PACKING VICTORY TT1 1.09.30 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 1 | 3.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 2 | 10 | MELBOURNE HALL H/XB A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 8 | 14.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 3 | 2 | UNIVERSAL GO GO B/TT C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 4 | 9.9 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 3 | HANDSOME REBEL B/TT2 K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 2 | 9.8 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 12 | MISSION SMART B/H M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 10 | 14.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 8 | SIGHT HERO CP J Moreira · D A Hayes | J Moreira | D A Hayes | 3 | 4.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 6 | WINNING DELAGO H C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 9 | 5.5 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 11 | TOP SCORE B/TT T Piccone · R Gibson | T Piccone | R Gibson | 7 | 51.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 1 | DAILY BEAUTY B/TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 11 | 29.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 7 | CORDYCEPS TWO K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 12 | 43.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 9 | MASTER ALBERT B/E/TT A Hamelin · W Y So | A Hamelin | W Y So | 6 | 36.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 4 | FORTUNE WINNER H1/PC1 H W Lai · L Ho | H W Lai | L Ho | 5 | 125.0 | 14 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | SIGHT HERO | 27.0% | 3.70 | 6 |
| 2 | 5 | PACKING VICTORY | 17.0% | 5.90 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | UNIVERSAL GO GO | 15.4% | 6.50 | 3 |
| 4 | 6 | WINNING DELAGO | 9.7% | 10.28 | 7 |
| 5 | 12 | MISSION SMART | 9.1% | 10.97 | 5 |
| 6 | 3 | HANDSOME REBEL | 7.5% | 13.31 | 4 |
| 7 | 10 | MELBOURNE HALL | 5.6% | 17.93 | 2 |
| 8 | 7 | CORDYCEPS TWO | 2.2% | 45.05 | 10 |
| 9 | 1 | DAILY BEAUTY | 2.2% | 45.69 | 9 |
| 10 | 9 | MASTER ALBERT | 1.8% | 56.66 | 11 |
| 11 | 4 | FORTUNE WINNER | 1.4% | 72.14 | 12 |
| 12 | 11 | TOP SCORE | 1.2% | 85.13 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 30.5
PLACE
2 22
5 15
10 38
QUINELLA
5,10 257
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 51.5
2,10 156
5,10 93
FORECAST
5,10 430
TIERCE
5,10,2 2,212
TRIO
2,5,10 794
FIRST 4
2,3,5,10 1,153
QUARTET
5,10,2,3 17,232
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
8/5 297.5
8/10 149.5
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 17.5