跑馬地 · 2021-06-09
第 9場
2021-06-09跑馬地第9場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由C L Chau策騎、D J Whyte訓練的MCLUCKY勝出，贏出N。SIGHT SUCCESS獲得亞軍；LOVING A BOOM獲得季軍。4.2倍大熱門IGNITING跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | MCLUCKY SR 1.09.95 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 6 | 5.1 | N |
| 2 | 7 | SIGHT SUCCESS E C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | 7 | 7.9 | N |
| 3 | 3 | LOVING A BOOM TT A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 1 | 6.3 | N |
| 4 | 1 | IGNITING B M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 3 | 4.2 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | HARMONY N HOME R Maia · C S Shum | R Maia | C S Shum | 4 | 31.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 2 | THE CROWN J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 12 | 7.6 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 10 | HARMONY N BLESSED BO/XB/TT M Chadwick · D A Hayes | M Chadwick | D A Hayes | 2 | 4.7 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 11 | TRIPLE TRIPLE XB/CP2 M L Yeung · F C Lor | M L Yeung | F C Lor | 5 | 44.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 12 | VILLA FIONN B C Wong · P F Yiu | C Wong | P F Yiu | 9 | 119.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 4 | RACING FIGHTER B/TT K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 10 | 24.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 9 | YOO YOO KING TT N Callan · K H Ting | N Callan | K H Ting | 11 | 60.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 5 | LOCKHEED B/TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 8 | 33.0 | 9 |
| — | 0 | TRANSCENDENT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | MCLUCKY | 20.3% | 4.93 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | IGNITING | 18.3% | 5.46 | 4 |
| 3 | 10 | HARMONY N BLESSED | 14.0% | 7.14 | 7 |
| 4 | 2 | THE CROWN | 13.8% | 7.23 | 6 |
| 5 | 7 | SIGHT SUCCESS | 12.5% | 8.00 | 2 |
| 6 | 3 | LOVING A BOOM | 11.4% | 8.77 | 3 |
| 7 | 8 | HARMONY N HOME | 2.8% | 35.30 | 5 |
| 8 | 11 | TRIPLE TRIPLE | 2.1% | 46.94 | 8 |
| 9 | 5 | LOCKHEED | 1.5% | 65.73 | 12 |
| 10 | 4 | RACING FIGHTER | 1.5% | 68.96 | 10 |
| 11 | 9 | YOO YOO KING | 1.1% | 93.88 | 11 |
| 12 | 12 | VILLA FIONN | 0.7% | 146.76 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 51.5
PLACE
3 19.5
6 17.5
7 28
QUINELLA
6,7 282.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 48
3,7 87
6,7 93.5
FORECAST
6,7 443
TIERCE
6,7,3 2,508
TRIO
3,6,7 447
FIRST 4
1,3,6,7 313
QUARTET
6,7,3,1 6,913
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 18.5
A1 —
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,8,9/3,6,7 74,317
8TH DOUBLE
9/6 454.5
9/7 192
SIX UP
4,9/5,6/3,10/5,12/8,9/6,7 12,675
9/5/10/12/9/6 628,506
4 [K Teetan] —
TREBLE
12/9/6 7,096
12/9/7 1,880