跑馬地 · 2021-06-09
第 8場
2021-06-09跑馬地第8場，Class 2，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由M Chadwick策騎、Y S Tsui訓練的HARMONY AND RICH勝出，贏出1-1/2。SHINING ACE獲得亞軍；EXPLOSIVE WITNESS獲得季軍。3.6倍大熱門LUCKY MORE跑獲第9名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | HARMONY AND RICH 0.56.66 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 9 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 8 | SHINING ACE B/TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 6 | 6.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 2 | EXPLOSIVE WITNESS B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 4 | 14.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 10 | MULTIMILLION B/TT T Piccone · A S Cruz | T Piccone | A S Cruz | 3 | 15.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | GRATEFUL HEART CP/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 1 | 15.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 3 | HONG KONG WIN B2 C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | 7 | 15.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 4 | MASSIVE POCKET XB C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 10 | 9.9 | 4 |
| 8 | 5 | VALIANT DREAM K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 11 | 8.4 | 4 |
| 9 | 7 | LUCKY MORE Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 2 | 3.6 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 11 | FLYING GENIUS B/TT H N Wong · A S Cruz | H N Wong | A S Cruz | 5 | 38.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 6 | SHINING GEM CP K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 12 | 23.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 12 | WE THE SOUTH H/XB M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 8 | 7.9 | 12-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | LUCKY MORE | 21.0% | 4.76 | 9 |
| 2 | 1 | GRATEFUL HEART | 16.4% | 6.10 | 5 |
| 3 | 8 | SHINING ACE | 12.7% | 7.88 | 2 |
| 4 | 5 | VALIANT DREAM | 11.7% | 8.54 | 8 |
| 5 | 9 | HARMONY AND RICH | 8.5% | 11.83 | 1 |
| 6 | 3 | HONG KONG WIN | 6.6% | 15.05 | 6 |
| 7 | 4 | MASSIVE POCKET | 6.0% | 16.80 | 7 |
| 8 | 12 | WE THE SOUTH | 4.4% | 22.65 | 12 |
| 9 | 10 | MULTIMILLION | 3.9% | 25.33 | 4 |
| 10 | 6 | SHINING GEM | 3.5% | 28.72 | 11 |
| 11 | 11 | FLYING GENIUS | 2.8% | 35.62 | 10 |
| 12 | 2 | EXPLOSIVE WITNESS | 2.5% | 39.86 | 3 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 102.5
PLACE
2 35.5
8 20.5
9 34
QUINELLA
8,9 332
QUINELLA PLACE
2,8 177
2,9 232.5
8,9 121
FORECAST
9,8 755
TIERCE
9,8,2 9,581
TRIO
2,8,9 1,727
FIRST 4
2,8,9,10 3,628
QUARTET
9,8,2,10 88,760
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 31.5
7TH DOUBLE
12/8 167.5
12/9 1,148