跑馬地 · 2021-06-09
第 7場
2021-06-09跑馬地第7場，Class 3，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Badel策騎、F C Lor訓練的EVERYONE'S DELIGHT勝出，贏出2-1/2。KA YING EXCELLENT獲得亞軍；SMOOTHIES獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。3.2倍大熱門SMOOTHIES跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | EVERYONE'S DELIGHT 一路領先 V/TT 1.41.40 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 9 | 13.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 2 | 5 | KA YING EXCELLENT 後段發力 CP/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 11 | 5.5 | 2-1/2 |
| 3 | 9 | SMOOTHIES B/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 7 | 3.2 | 3-3/4 |
| 4 | 3 | TASHIDELEK 後段發力 B C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 5 | 8.0 | 4 |
| 5 | 11 | BRIGHT KID 後段發力 B/XB H N Wong · W Y So | H N Wong | W Y So | 10 | 47.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | GIFT OF LIFELINE 後段發力 B K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 1 | 5.4 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 4 | CINQUANTE CINQ M F Poon · T P Yung | M F Poon | T P Yung | 8 | 18.0 | 7 |
| 8 | 7 | CHAMPION PAL 後段發力 B R Maia · P O'Sullivan | R Maia | P O'Sullivan | 2 | 152.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 9 | 8 | NOBLE STEED B N Callan · K W Lui | N Callan | K W Lui | 3 | 8.2 | 9-1/2 |
| 10 | 1 | ARTHUR'S KINGDOM H/XB B Shinn · Y S Tsui | B Shinn | Y S Tsui | 6 | 33.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 11 | 6 | WORLD FAMOUS B/XB H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 12 | 10.0 | 14-1/4 |
| 12 | 10 | STAR OF GLORY B- M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 4 | 140.0 | 24-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | SMOOTHIES | 27.8% | 3.60 | 3 |
| 2 | 5 | KA YING EXCELLENT | 17.1% | 5.84 | 2 |
| 3 | 2 | GIFT OF LIFELINE | 16.4% | 6.11 | 6 |
| 4 | 12 | EVERYONE'S DELIGHT | 13.2% | 7.60 | 1 |
| 5 | 3 | TASHIDELEK | 6.6% | 15.25 | 4 |
| 6 | 6 | WORLD FAMOUS | 5.6% | 17.74 | 11 |
| 7 | 8 | NOBLE STEED | 4.3% | 23.34 | 9 |
| 8 | 4 | CINQUANTE CINQ | 4.0% | 25.00 | 7 |
| 9 | 11 | BRIGHT KID | 2.7% | 36.65 | 5 |
| 10 | 1 | ARTHUR'S KINGDOM | 1.2% | 81.82 | 10 |
| 11 | 7 | CHAMPION PAL | 0.6% | 166.76 | 8 |
| 12 | 10 | STAR OF GLORY | 0.5% | 190.47 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 131.5
PLACE
5 20.5
9 13.5
12 34
QUINELLA
5,12 354
QUINELLA PLACE
5,9 38
5,12 127.5
9,12 86
FORECAST
12,5 928
TIERCE
12,5,9 3,163
TRIO
5,9,12 352
FIRST 4
3,5,9,12 675
QUARTET
12,5,9,3 22,795
全部彩池（另 5 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
3,6,10/5,9,12 13,414
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 28
6TH DOUBLE
10/5 56
10/12 643
TRIPLE TRIO
5,6,9/3,6,10/5,9,12 749,490
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
5,6,9/3,6,10/Any Combination 2,894