Happy Valley · 2021-06-09
Race 8
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2021-06-09 was Class 2 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. HARMONY AND RICH, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by Y S Tsui, won by 1-1/2, with SHINING ACE second and EXPLOSIVE WITNESS third. The 3.6 favourite LUCKY MORE finished 9th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | HARMONY AND RICH 0.56.66 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 9 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 8 | SHINING ACE B/TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 6 | 6.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 2 | EXPLOSIVE WITNESS B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 4 | 14.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 10 | MULTIMILLION B/TT T Piccone · A S Cruz | T Piccone | A S Cruz | 3 | 15.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | GRATEFUL HEART CP/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 1 | 15.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 3 | HONG KONG WIN B2 C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | 7 | 15.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 4 | MASSIVE POCKET XB C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 10 | 9.9 | 4 |
| 8 | 5 | VALIANT DREAM K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 11 | 8.4 | 4 |
| 9 | 7 | LUCKY MORE Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 2 | 3.6 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 11 | FLYING GENIUS B/TT H N Wong · A S Cruz | H N Wong | A S Cruz | 5 | 38.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 6 | SHINING GEM CP K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 12 | 23.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 12 | WE THE SOUTH H/XB M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 8 | 7.9 | 12-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | LUCKY MORE | 21.0% | 4.76 | 9 |
| 2 | 1 | GRATEFUL HEART | 16.4% | 6.10 | 5 |
| 3 | 8 | SHINING ACE | 12.7% | 7.88 | 2 |
| 4 | 5 | VALIANT DREAM | 11.7% | 8.54 | 8 |
| 5 | 9 | HARMONY AND RICH | 8.5% | 11.83 | 1 |
| 6 | 3 | HONG KONG WIN | 6.6% | 15.05 | 6 |
| 7 | 4 | MASSIVE POCKET | 6.0% | 16.80 | 7 |
| 8 | 12 | WE THE SOUTH | 4.4% | 22.65 | 12 |
| 9 | 10 | MULTIMILLION | 3.9% | 25.33 | 4 |
| 10 | 6 | SHINING GEM | 3.5% | 28.72 | 11 |
| 11 | 11 | FLYING GENIUS | 2.8% | 35.62 | 10 |
| 12 | 2 | EXPLOSIVE WITNESS | 2.5% | 39.86 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 102.5
PLACE
2 35.5
8 20.5
9 34
QUINELLA
8,9 332
QUINELLA PLACE
2,8 177
2,9 232.5
8,9 121
FORECAST
9,8 755
TIERCE
9,8,2 9,581
TRIO
2,8,9 1,727
FIRST 4
2,8,9,10 3,628
QUARTET
9,8,2,10 88,760
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 31.5
7TH DOUBLE
12/8 167.5
12/9 1,148