Happy Valley · 2021-06-09
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2021-06-09 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. RED MAJESTY, ridden by K Teetan and trained by D A Hayes, won by 3/4, with SAVVY KINGMAN second and ALL YOU KNOW third. The winner led throughout. The 3.3 favourite SAVVY KINGMAN finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | RED MAJESTY Wire to wire B/TT 1.40.72 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 8 | 4.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 3 | SAVVY KINGMAN Closed strongly J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 1 | 3.3 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 6 | ALL YOU KNOW Closed strongly B-/CP2/TT A Hamelin · R Gibson | A Hamelin | R Gibson | 7 | 11.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 11 | ALL JOYFUL Closed strongly B1 M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 11 | 19.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | MORE THAN ENOUGH B/TT N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 3 | 9.1 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 12 | NITRO EXPRESS Closed strongly B/TT M F Poon · D E Ferraris | M F Poon | D E Ferraris | 9 | 14.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 9 | SHADOW BREAKER Closed strongly SR/TT C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 12 | 16.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 1 | JOLLY HONOUR B/TT A Badel · Y S Tsui | A Badel | Y S Tsui | 4 | 14.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 5 | FAITHFUL TRINITY H/TT T Piccone · W Y So | T Piccone | W Y So | 2 | 47.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 7 | GOOD BUDDY Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 6 | 5.4 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 8 | LITTLE BIRD V/TT H Bentley · K L Man | H Bentley | K L Man | 10 | 79.0 | 14 |
| 12 | 4 | SINCERE BOY B H W Lai · P O'Sullivan | H W Lai | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 186.0 | 16-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | SAVVY KINGMAN | 33.4% | 3.00 | 2 |
| 2 | 7 | GOOD BUDDY | 21.5% | 4.65 | 10 |
| 3 | 10 | RED MAJESTY | 17.2% | 5.80 | 1 |
| 4 | 2 | MORE THAN ENOUGH | 6.9% | 14.42 | 5 |
| 5 | 12 | NITRO EXPRESS | 4.9% | 20.41 | 6 |
| 6 | 1 | JOLLY HONOUR | 4.3% | 23.15 | 8 |
| 7 | 11 | ALL JOYFUL | 3.4% | 29.48 | 4 |
| 8 | 9 | SHADOW BREAKER | 2.9% | 34.63 | 7 |
| 9 | 6 | ALL YOU KNOW | 2.8% | 35.44 | 3 |
| 10 | 5 | FAITHFUL TRINITY | 1.5% | 68.09 | 9 |
| 11 | 8 | LITTLE BIRD | 0.8% | 132.20 | 11 |
| 12 | 4 | SINCERE BOY | 0.4% | 254.37 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 40.5
PLACE
3 15.5
6 26.5
10 16.5
QUINELLA
3,10 88
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 85.5
3,10 41
6,10 86
FORECAST
10,3 223
TIERCE
10,3,6 1,582
TRIO
3,6,10 442
FIRST 4
3,6,10,11 1,342
QUARTET
10,3,6,11 17,880
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 22.5
5TH DOUBLE
5/3 32.5
5/10 276