Happy Valley · 2021-06-09
Race 4
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2021-06-09 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. HAPPY TANGO, ridden by K Teetan and trained by Y S Tsui, won by SH, with MANAGEMENT SUPREME second and WHAT A LEGEND third. The 2.7 favourite SUMMIT CHEERS finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | HAPPY TANGO B 1.09.76 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 4 | 10.0 | SH |
| 2 | 4 | MANAGEMENT SUPREME TT1 M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 6 | 4.9 | SH |
| 3 | 1 | WHAT A LEGEND B C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 7 | 7.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 3 | POISED TO STRIKE CP/TT C L Chau · D A Hayes | C L Chau | D A Hayes | 11 | 34.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 8 | A SMILE LIKE YOURS J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 8 | 9.2 | 3 |
| 6 | 2 | SUMMIT CHEERS Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 3 | 2.7 | 3 |
| 7 | 5 | BELLA BABY XB/TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 5 | 9.8 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 10 | COOLCELEB B/TT M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 2 | 50.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 7 | WIN WIN STAR R Maia · P F Yiu | R Maia | P F Yiu | 12 | 16.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 6 | PACKING KINGDOM TT1 K C Leung · C S Shum | K C Leung | C S Shum | 1 | 13.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 11 | WIN TECH M L Yeung · P O'Sullivan | M L Yeung | P O'Sullivan | 10 | 136.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 12 | MULTIPLE STAR B1/TT C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 9 | 88.0 | 10-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SUMMIT CHEERS | 35.0% | 2.86 | 6 |
| 2 | 9 | HAPPY TANGO | 10.4% | 9.66 | 1 |
| 3 | 4 | MANAGEMENT SUPREME | 9.3% | 10.80 | 2 |
| 4 | 8 | A SMILE LIKE YOURS | 9.1% | 11.00 | 5 |
| 5 | 3 | POISED TO STRIKE | 7.7% | 12.92 | 4 |
| 6 | 1 | WHAT A LEGEND | 5.8% | 17.28 | 3 |
| 7 | 10 | COOLCELEB | 5.7% | 17.50 | 8 |
| 8 | 5 | BELLA BABY | 5.4% | 18.54 | 7 |
| 9 | 6 | PACKING KINGDOM | 5.3% | 19.04 | 10 |
| 10 | 7 | WIN WIN STAR | 4.7% | 21.06 | 9 |
| 11 | 11 | WIN TECH | 1.1% | 87.91 | 11 |
| 12 | 12 | MULTIPLE STAR | 0.5% | 186.38 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 108
PLACE
1 19
4 16.5
9 29.5
QUINELLA
4,9 170.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 73
1,9 113
4,9 70.5
FORECAST
9,4 500
TIERCE
9,4,1 3,336
TRIO
1,4,9 481
FIRST 4
1,3,4,9 2,837
QUARTET
9,4,1,3 52,517
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 30
A2 —
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE
1/4 53
1/9 423.5