Happy Valley · 2021-06-09
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | PACKING VICTORY TT1 1.09.30 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 1 | 3.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | MELBOURNE HALL H/XB A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 8 | 14.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | UNIVERSAL GO GO B/TT C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 4 | 9.9 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | HANDSOME REBEL B/TT2 K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 2 | 9.8 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | MISSION SMART B/H M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 10 | 14.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | SIGHT HERO CP J Moreira · D A Hayes | J Moreira | D A Hayes | 3 | 4.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | WINNING DELAGO H C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 9 | 5.5 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | TOP SCORE B/TT T Piccone · R Gibson | T Piccone | R Gibson | 7 | 51.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | DAILY BEAUTY B/TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 11 | 29.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | CORDYCEPS TWO K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 12 | 43.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | MASTER ALBERT B/E/TT A Hamelin · W Y So | A Hamelin | W Y So | 6 | 36.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | FORTUNE WINNER H1/PC1 H W Lai · L Ho | H W Lai | L Ho | 5 | 125.0 | 14 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2021-06-09 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. PACKING VICTORY, ridden by Z Purton and trained by C S Shum, won by 2-1/2, with MELBOURNE HALL second and UNIVERSAL GO GO third. Victory came as the 3.0 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SIGHT HERO | 27.0% | 3.70 | 6 |
| 2 | 0 | PACKING VICTORY | 17.0% | 5.90 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | UNIVERSAL GO GO | 15.4% | 6.50 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | WINNING DELAGO | 9.7% | 10.28 | 7 |
| 5 | 0 | MISSION SMART | 9.1% | 10.97 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | HANDSOME REBEL | 7.5% | 13.31 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | MELBOURNE HALL | 5.6% | 17.93 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | CORDYCEPS TWO | 2.2% | 45.05 | 10 |
| 9 | 0 | DAILY BEAUTY | 2.2% | 45.69 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | MASTER ALBERT | 1.8% | 56.66 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | FORTUNE WINNER | 1.4% | 72.14 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | TOP SCORE | 1.2% | 85.13 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 30.5
PLACE
2 22
5 15
10 38
QUINELLA
5,10 257
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 51.5
2,10 156
5,10 93
FORECAST
5,10 430
TIERCE
5,10,2 2,212
TRIO
2,5,10 794
FIRST 4
2,3,5,10 1,153
QUARTET
5,10,2,3 17,232
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
8/5 297.5
8/10 149.5
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 17.5