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Happy Valley · 2021-06-09

Race 9

Class 3 GOOD 1200m Course B 11 runners

Result

Official · 1.09.95
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 MCLUCKY SR 1.09.95 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · D J Whyte 6 5.1 N
2 0 SIGHT SUCCESS E C Schofield · J Size 7 7.9 N
3 0 LOVING A BOOM TT A Badel · R Gibson 1 6.3 N
4 0 IGNITING B M F Poon · K W Lui 3 4.2 2-1/2
5 0 HARMONY N HOME R Maia · C S Shum 4 31.0 3
6 0 THE CROWN J Moreira · C Fownes 12 7.6 4-1/4
8 0 TRIPLE TRIPLE XB/CP2 M L Yeung · F C Lor 5 44.0 4-1/2
9 0 VILLA FIONN B C Wong · P F Yiu 9 119.0 5
10 0 RACING FIGHTER B/TT K C Leung · C H Yip 10 24.0 6-1/4
11 0 YOO YOO KING TT N Callan · K H Ting 11 60.0 7-3/4
12 0 LOCKHEED B/TT K Teetan · C S Shum 8 33.0 9
— 0 HARMONY N BLESSED BO/XB/TT M Chadwick · D A Hayes — 4.7 4-1/2
— 0 TRANSCENDENT Z Purton · A S Cruz — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2021-06-09 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. MCLUCKY, ridden by C L Chau and trained by D J Whyte, won by N, with SIGHT SUCCESS second and LOVING A BOOM third. The 4.2 favourite IGNITING finished 4th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. MCLUCKY—2. SIGHT SUCCESS+0.05L3. LOVING A BOOM+0.05L4. IGNITING+2.5L5. HARMONY N HOME+3L6. THE CROWN+4.25L8. TRIPLE TRIPLE+4.5L9. VILLA FIONN+5L10. RACING FIGHTER+6.25L11. YOO YOO KING+7.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2020-21
The model's top pick MCLUCKY (20.3%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 MCLUCKY 20.3% 4.93 1
2 0 IGNITING 18.3% 5.46 4
3 0 HARMONY N BLESSED 14.0% 7.14 —
4 0 THE CROWN 13.8% 7.23 6
5 0 SIGHT SUCCESS 12.5% 8.00 2
6 0 LOVING A BOOM 11.4% 8.77 3
7 0 HARMONY N HOME 2.8% 35.30 5
8 0 TRIPLE TRIPLE 2.1% 46.94 8
9 0 LOCKHEED 1.5% 65.73 12
10 0 RACING FIGHTER 1.5% 68.96 10
11 0 YOO YOO KING 1.1% 93.88 11
12 0 VILLA FIONN 0.7% 146.76 9
MCLUCKY — wonIGNITINGHARMONY N BLESSEDTHE CROWNSIGHT SUCCESSLOVING A BOOMHARMONY N HOMETRIPLE TRIPLELOCKHEEDRACING FIGHTERYOO YOO KINGVILLA FIONN

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 51.5

PLACE

3 19.5

6 17.5

7 28

QUINELLA

6,7 282.5

QUINELLA PLACE

3,6 48

3,7 87

6,7 93.5

FORECAST

6,7 443

TIERCE

6,7,3 2,508

TRIO

3,6,7 447

FIRST 4

1,3,6,7 313

QUARTET

6,7,3,1 6,913

All pools (5 more)

3 PICK 1

A1 —

A2 18.5

A3 —

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

2,8,9/3,6,7 74,317

8TH DOUBLE

9/6 454.5

9/7 192

SIX UP

4,9/5,6/3,10/5,12/8,9/6,7 12,675

9/5/10/12/9/6 628,506

4 [K Teetan] —

TREBLE

12/9/6 7,096

12/9/7 1,880