Happy Valley · 2021-06-09
Race 9
Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2021-06-09 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. MCLUCKY, ridden by C L Chau and trained by D J Whyte, won by N, with SIGHT SUCCESS second and LOVING A BOOM third. The 4.2 favourite IGNITING finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | MCLUCKY SR 1.09.95 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 6 | 5.1 | N |
| 2 | 7 | SIGHT SUCCESS E C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | 7 | 7.9 | N |
| 3 | 3 | LOVING A BOOM TT A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 1 | 6.3 | N |
| 4 | 1 | IGNITING B M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 3 | 4.2 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | HARMONY N HOME R Maia · C S Shum | R Maia | C S Shum | 4 | 31.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 2 | THE CROWN J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 12 | 7.6 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 10 | HARMONY N BLESSED BO/XB/TT M Chadwick · D A Hayes | M Chadwick | D A Hayes | 2 | 4.7 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 11 | TRIPLE TRIPLE XB/CP2 M L Yeung · F C Lor | M L Yeung | F C Lor | 5 | 44.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 12 | VILLA FIONN B C Wong · P F Yiu | C Wong | P F Yiu | 9 | 119.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 4 | RACING FIGHTER B/TT K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 10 | 24.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 9 | YOO YOO KING TT N Callan · K H Ting | N Callan | K H Ting | 11 | 60.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 5 | LOCKHEED B/TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 8 | 33.0 | 9 |
| — | 0 | TRANSCENDENT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | MCLUCKY | 20.3% | 4.93 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | IGNITING | 18.3% | 5.46 | 4 |
| 3 | 10 | HARMONY N BLESSED | 14.0% | 7.14 | 7 |
| 4 | 2 | THE CROWN | 13.8% | 7.23 | 6 |
| 5 | 7 | SIGHT SUCCESS | 12.5% | 8.00 | 2 |
| 6 | 3 | LOVING A BOOM | 11.4% | 8.77 | 3 |
| 7 | 8 | HARMONY N HOME | 2.8% | 35.30 | 5 |
| 8 | 11 | TRIPLE TRIPLE | 2.1% | 46.94 | 8 |
| 9 | 5 | LOCKHEED | 1.5% | 65.73 | 12 |
| 10 | 4 | RACING FIGHTER | 1.5% | 68.96 | 10 |
| 11 | 9 | YOO YOO KING | 1.1% | 93.88 | 11 |
| 12 | 12 | VILLA FIONN | 0.7% | 146.76 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 51.5
PLACE
3 19.5
6 17.5
7 28
QUINELLA
6,7 282.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 48
3,7 87
6,7 93.5
FORECAST
6,7 443
TIERCE
6,7,3 2,508
TRIO
3,6,7 447
FIRST 4
1,3,6,7 313
QUARTET
6,7,3,1 6,913
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 18.5
A1 —
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,8,9/3,6,7 74,317
8TH DOUBLE
9/6 454.5
9/7 192
SIX UP
4,9/5,6/3,10/5,12/8,9/6,7 12,675
9/5/10/12/9/6 628,506
4 [K Teetan] —
TREBLE
12/9/6 7,096
12/9/7 1,880