Happy Valley · 2021-06-09
Race 1
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2021-06-09 was Class 5 over 2200m, run on GOOD going. SKY GEM, ridden by K Teetan and trained by C Fownes, won by 2, with WEALTHY EMPLOYEE second and THE JOY OF GIVING third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.8 favourite APOLAR WARRIOR finished 12th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | SKY GEM Closed strongly PC- 2.15.87 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 12 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 2 | 9 | WEALTHY EMPLOYEE Closed strongly B M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 11 | 57.0 | 2 |
| 3 | 10 | THE JOY OF GIVING Closed strongly H-/B A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 5 | 9.0 | 5 |
| 4 | 1 | HAY RUN V/TT K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 3 | 7.4 | 7-1/2 |
| 5 | 6 | SPEED FORCE CP-/SR/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 2 | 9.9 | 8-1/4 |
| 6 | 12 | YOUNG GLORY Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · D E Ferraris | M Chadwick | D E Ferraris | 6 | 12.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 7 | 11 | FORTUNE PATROL Closed strongly B/H/XB M F Poon · A T Millard | M F Poon | A T Millard | 4 | 13.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 8 | 2 | CHEERFUL STAR Closed strongly B/TT J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 7 | 7.8 | 10-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | GREAT SMART CP/TT H Bentley · K L Man | H Bentley | K L Man | 9 | 26.0 | 13 |
| 10 | 3 | SPEED TO EXCEED CP/XB N Callan · R Gibson | N Callan | R Gibson | 10 | 24.0 | 14 |
| 11 | 4 | PRESIDENT STAR Led early B/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 1 | 5.7 | 15 |
| 12 | 5 | APOLAR WARRIOR V A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 8 | 4.8 | 15-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | PRESIDENT STAR | 23.7% | 4.22 | 11 |
| 2 | 2 | CHEERFUL STAR | 16.2% | 6.18 | 8 |
| 3 | 6 | SPEED FORCE | 15.2% | 6.56 | 5 |
| 4 | 5 | APOLAR WARRIOR | 10.9% | 9.15 | 12 |
| 5 | 10 | THE JOY OF GIVING | 7.8% | 12.81 | 3 |
| 6 | 11 | FORTUNE PATROL | 5.7% | 17.58 | 7 |
| 7 | 8 | SKY GEM | 5.3% | 18.74 | 1 |
| 8 | 3 | SPEED TO EXCEED | 5.0% | 20.03 | 10 |
| 9 | 1 | HAY RUN | 3.6% | 28.05 | 4 |
| 10 | 7 | GREAT SMART | 2.8% | 35.84 | 9 |
| 11 | 12 | YOUNG GLORY | 2.0% | 50.57 | 6 |
| 12 | 9 | WEALTHY EMPLOYEE | 1.8% | 55.12 | 2 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 102
PLACE
8 31
9 142
10 28.5
QUINELLA
8,9 2,678.5
QUINELLA PLACE
8,9 699.5
8,10 151.5
9,10 720
FORECAST
8,9 4,376
TIERCE
8,9,10 35,092
TRIO
8,9,10 5,789
FIRST 4
1,8,9,10 10,244
QUARTET
8,9,10,1 338,445
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 24.5
A1 —