Happy Valley · 2021-06-09
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0 | HEART CONQUERED T Piccone · R Gibson | T Piccone | R Gibson | 7 | 9.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | LIKE THAT V K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 12 | 15.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | TRADER B/TT J Moreira · D A Hayes | J Moreira | D A Hayes | 4 | 4.2 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | PEGASUS GLORY B C Wong · Y S Tsui | C Wong | Y S Tsui | 11 | 11.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | LARSON CP/TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 5 | 4.5 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | GREEN AEON H/TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 3 | 5.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | SMART LEADER B/TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 6 | 71.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | SMOKEY BEAR M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 8 | 28.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | GENTLE BREEZE H- K H Chan · P F Yiu | K H Chan | P F Yiu | 1 | 44.0 | 14-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE V/TT H W Lai · W Y So | H W Lai | W Y So | 10 | 117.0 | 30-1/2 |
| — | 0 | CANTSTOPTHEFEELING B/TT H Bentley · K L Man | H Bentley | K L Man | 2 | 14.0 | — |
| — | 0 | HARMONY FIRE XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | — | 6.4 | 1-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2021-06-09 was Class 3 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. HEART CONQUERED, ridden by T Piccone and trained by R Gibson, won by 1-1/2, with LIKE THAT second and TRADER third. The 4.2 favourite TRADER finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HARMONY FIRE | 26.9% | 3.72 | — |
| 2 | 0 | TRADER | 18.3% | 5.45 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | LARSON | 17.0% | 5.90 | 6 |
| 4 | 0 | GREEN AEON | 12.0% | 8.34 | 7 |
| 5 | 0 | LIKE THAT | 9.6% | 10.39 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | PEGASUS GLORY | 4.8% | 20.77 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | HEART CONQUERED | 4.5% | 22.11 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | SMOKEY BEAR | 2.7% | 37.10 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | GENTLE BREEZE | 2.2% | 46.05 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE | 1.3% | 78.54 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | SMART LEADER | 0.7% | 133.34 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 64.5
PLACE
5 25
6 23.5
9 49.5
QUINELLA
5,6 326
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 96.5
5,9 146
6,9 234
FORECAST
5,6 577
TIERCE
5,6,9 5,041
TRIO
5,6,9 1,256
FIRST 4
5,6,9,11 1,354
QUARTET
5,6,9,11 29,912
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,9/5,6,9 33,400
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 28.5
A3 —
4TH DOUBLE
9/5 518.5
9/6 247.5