沙田 · 2021-06-13
第 4場
2021-06-13沙田第4場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由J Moreira策騎、J Size訓練的BLAZE WARRIOR勝出，贏出1-1/4。FIRE BALL獲得亞軍；HARMONY WIN WIN獲得季軍。2.7倍大熱門FIRE BALL跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | BLAZE WARRIOR TT1 1.08.59 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 10 | 3.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 9 | FIRE BALL TT Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 1 | 2.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 1 | HARMONY WIN WIN SR/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 3 | 6.5 | 2 |
| 4 | 8 | CHIU CHOW BROTHER B A Badel · T P Yung | A Badel | T P Yung | 7 | 29.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 2 | VUKAN XB1 K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | 12 | 6.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 5 | GOOD RUNNER M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 11 | 77.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 4 | DIAMOND DIESEL TT1 C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 4 | 18.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 11 | MEGA BONUS B/XB N Callan · P F Yiu | N Callan | P F Yiu | 5 | 26.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 6 | THIS IS GUTS TT1 C Schofield · D A Hayes | C Schofield | D A Hayes | 9 | 16.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 7 | WONDERFUL FANTASY R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 6 | 167.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 12 | STAR OF RED B/TT H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 8 | 76.0 | 12-3/4 |
| 12 | 10 | KABI SMART H/TT H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 2 | 127.0 | 15-3/4 |
| — | 0 | FULL SAILING · Y S Tsui | — | Y S Tsui | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | BLAZE WARRIOR | 25.9% | 3.86 | 1 |
| 2 | 9 | FIRE BALL | 18.3% | 5.45 | 2 |
| 3 | 2 | VUKAN | 14.0% | 7.15 | 5 |
| 4 | 6 | THIS IS GUTS | 10.6% | 9.47 | 9 |
| 5 | 1 | HARMONY WIN WIN | 10.5% | 9.53 | 3 |
| 6 | 4 | DIAMOND DIESEL | 5.2% | 19.08 | 7 |
| 7 | 8 | CHIU CHOW BROTHER | 5.1% | 19.64 | 4 |
| 8 | 5 | GOOD RUNNER | 3.8% | 26.65 | 6 |
| 9 | 11 | MEGA BONUS | 2.6% | 37.74 | 8 |
| 10 | 7 | WONDERFUL FANTASY | 1.8% | 55.77 | 10 |
| 11 | 10 | KABI SMART | 1.4% | 72.69 | 12 |
| 12 | 12 | STAR OF RED | 0.8% | 124.80 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 33.5
PLACE
1 19
3 15
9 12
QUINELLA
3,9 50.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 44
1,9 30
3,9 24
FORECAST
3,9 121
TIERCE
3,9,1 293
TRIO
1,3,9 66
FIRST 4
1,3,8,9 285
QUARTET
3,9,1,8 3,977
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 27
3RD DOUBLE
7/3 1,309
7/9 133.5