沙田 · 2021-06-13
第 10場
2021-06-13沙田第10場，Class 2，途程1200米，跑道評為WET SLOW。由C L Chau策騎、D J Whyte訓練的WILL POWER勝出，贏出1-1/4。CZARSON獲得亞軍；VICTORIAM獲得季軍。4.1倍大熱門KURPANY跑獲第10名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | WILL POWER XB 1.09.51 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 12 | 8.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 12 | CZARSON CP/TT H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 3 | 7.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 10 | VICTORIAM C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 1 | 12.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 7 | CALIFORNIADEEPSHOT CP/TT N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 8 | 9.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 6 | GOLD CHEST CP/TT T Piccone · R Gibson | T Piccone | R Gibson | 10 | 25.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 1 | RED DESERT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 11 | 11.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 8 | HIGHLY PROACTIVE H/P/TT K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 6 | 6.6 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 3 | HANDSOME BO BO TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 9 | 11.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 9 | SUNNY BOY B/TT R Maia · W Y So | R Maia | W Y So | 5 | 15.0 | 10 |
| 10 | 5 | KURPANY TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 7 | 4.1 | 10-1/4 |
| 11 | 11 | WE THE SOUTH H/XB M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 2 | 14.0 | 15-3/4 |
| 12 | 4 | HARMONY AND RICH C Wong · Y S Tsui | C Wong | Y S Tsui | 4 | 20.0 | 27-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | KURPANY | 23.7% | 4.21 | 10 |
| 2 | 4 | HARMONY AND RICH | 12.1% | 8.29 | 12 |
| 3 | 3 | HANDSOME BO BO | 12.0% | 8.34 | 8 |
| 4 | 2 | WILL POWER | 9.0% | 11.13 | 1 |
| 5 | 8 | HIGHLY PROACTIVE | 8.6% | 11.61 | 7 |
| 6 | 10 | VICTORIAM | 7.6% | 13.12 | 3 |
| 7 | 1 | RED DESERT | 6.4% | 15.59 | 6 |
| 8 | 7 | CALIFORNIADEEPSHOT | 6.2% | 16.20 | 4 |
| 9 | 11 | WE THE SOUTH | 4.8% | 20.73 | 11 |
| 10 | 12 | CZARSON | 4.7% | 21.08 | 2 |
| 11 | 6 | GOLD CHEST | 2.8% | 36.17 | 5 |
| 12 | 9 | SUNNY BOY | 2.1% | 48.10 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 89
PLACE
2 24.5
10 43.5
12 27
QUINELLA
2,12 349.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,10 205
2,12 112
10,12 171.5
FORECAST
2,12 927
TIERCE
2,12,10 8,868
TRIO
2,10,12 1,577
FIRST 4
2,7,10,12 4,557
QUARTET
2,12,10,7 111,801
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 15.5
A2 —
9TH DOUBLE
2/2 1,440.5
2/12 325