沙田 · 2021-06-13
第 5場
2021-06-13沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為WET SLOW。由B Shinn策騎、J Size訓練的DASHING FIT勝出，贏出N。THE BEST HERO獲得亞軍；EVERYONE'S VICTORY獲得季軍。4.1倍大熱門STEEL WIN跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | DASHING FIT B1 1.09.42 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） B Shinn · J Size | B Shinn | J Size | 10 | 16.0 | N |
| 2 | 12 | THE BEST HERO B H W Lai · L Ho | H W Lai | L Ho | 7 | 8.2 | N |
| 3 | 8 | EVERYONE'S VICTORY H/TT H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 11 | 67.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 11 | STEEL WIN B- K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 4 | 4.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | GLORIOUS LOVER B J Moreira · C H Yip | J Moreira | C H Yip | 2 | 8.2 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 1 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS B H N Wong · D J Hall | H N Wong | D J Hall | 12 | 23.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 3 | DIVINE REGULUS TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 6 | 8.3 | 7-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | LAPUTA C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 9 | 73.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 9 | 10 | HOLYSHOWCASING T Piccone · D E Ferraris | T Piccone | D E Ferraris | 3 | 9.6 | 8-1/2 |
| 10 | 9 | FOREVER CITY H-/B1/TT K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 8 | 15.0 | 13 |
| 11 | 7 | LUCKY RUBY B/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 5 | 4.5 | 13 |
| 12 | 4 | JUST NOT LISTENING V C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 1 | 11.0 | 22-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | GLORIOUS LOVER | 27.3% | 3.66 | 5 |
| 2 | 3 | DIVINE REGULUS | 14.3% | 6.99 | 7 |
| 3 | 7 | LUCKY RUBY | 12.4% | 8.05 | 11 |
| 4 | 12 | THE BEST HERO | 10.8% | 9.30 | 2 |
| 5 | 4 | JUST NOT LISTENING | 8.4% | 11.95 | 12 |
| 6 | 5 | DASHING FIT | 5.4% | 18.52 | 1 |
| 7 | 6 | LAPUTA | 5.2% | 19.25 | 8 |
| 8 | 9 | FOREVER CITY | 4.4% | 22.96 | 10 |
| 9 | 11 | STEEL WIN | 4.0% | 25.01 | 4 |
| 10 | 10 | HOLYSHOWCASING | 3.1% | 32.51 | 9 |
| 11 | 8 | EVERYONE'S VICTORY | 2.7% | 36.65 | 3 |
| 12 | 1 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS | 2.1% | 48.50 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 166
PLACE
5 53.5
8 166.5
12 21.5
QUINELLA
5,12 905
QUINELLA PLACE
5,8 1,222
5,12 249.5
8,12 826.5
FORECAST
5,12 2,096
TIERCE
5,12,8 49,531
TRIO
5,8,12 15,331
FIRST 4
5,8,11,12 12,756
QUARTET
5,12,8,11 309,652
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,9/5,8,12 294,791
3 PICK 1
A3 26
A1 —
A2 —
4TH DOUBLE
3/5 795.5
3/12 44