沙田 · 2021-06-13
第 8場
2021-06-13沙田第8場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由J Moreira策騎、F C Lor訓練的MASTER EIGHT勝出，贏出3/4。THE GOLDEN SCENERY獲得亞軍；FEARLESS FIRE獲得季軍。頭馬以1.2倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | MASTER EIGHT 1.08.61 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 10 | 1.2 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 7 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY TT1 C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 1 | 14.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 10 | FEARLESS FIRE XB M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 4 | 85.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 3 | QUADRUPLE DOUBLE TT M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 9 | 35.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | MISTER SNOWDON SR1 C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 12 | 52.0 | 5 |
| 6 | 8 | CHICKEN DANCE CP K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 26.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 5 | PERFECT GLORY N Callan · C Fownes | N Callan | C Fownes | 11 | 60.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 6 | RED TITAN E1 B Shinn · J Size | B Shinn | J Size | 5 | 22.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 4 | SUPER DOBBIN B K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 2 | 14.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 12 | WOOD ON FIRE H/V/TT M Chadwick · L Ho | M Chadwick | L Ho | 6 | 36.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 1 | REGENCY BO BO B/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 7 | 16.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 11 | SUPER WIN DRAGON H/TT H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 8 | 98.0 | 10-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | MASTER EIGHT | 59.2% | 1.69 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | SUPER DOBBIN | 10.3% | 9.74 | 9 |
| 3 | 1 | REGENCY BO BO | 8.8% | 11.33 | 11 |
| 4 | 8 | CHICKEN DANCE | 4.2% | 24.09 | 6 |
| 5 | 2 | MISTER SNOWDON | 3.6% | 27.76 | 5 |
| 6 | 12 | WOOD ON FIRE | 3.5% | 28.77 | 10 |
| 7 | 3 | QUADRUPLE DOUBLE | 2.5% | 39.79 | 4 |
| 8 | 7 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY | 2.5% | 40.01 | 2 |
| 9 | 5 | PERFECT GLORY | 2.0% | 50.55 | 7 |
| 10 | 10 | FEARLESS FIRE | 1.6% | 63.15 | 3 |
| 11 | 6 | RED TITAN | 1.3% | 77.95 | 8 |
| 12 | 11 | SUPER WIN DRAGON | 0.7% | 147.79 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 12
PLACE
7 26
9 10.5
10 132
QUINELLA
7,9 66
QUINELLA PLACE
7,9 33.5
7,10 964.5
9,10 185
FORECAST
9,7 89
TIERCE
9,7,10 2,926
TRIO
7,9,10 1,126
FIRST 4
3,7,9,10 3,172
QUARTET
9,7,10,3 23,057
全部彩池（另 3 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,6/7,9,10 236,851
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 12
7TH DOUBLE
6/7 1,165.5
6/9 687.5