沙田 · 2021-06-13
第 6場
2021-06-13沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由C L Chau策騎、T P Yung訓練的CITY LEGEND勝出，贏出1/2。AWE獲得亞軍；FREE FOAL獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.0倍大熱門PLIKCLONE跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | CITY LEGEND 後段發力 B/TT 1.21.20 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 9 | 14.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 4 | AWE 後段發力 B2 B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 8 | 15.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 8 | FREE FOAL M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 6 | 8.2 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 9 | PLIKCLONE B Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 4 | 3.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 13 | VIVA POPCORN 後段發力 H/TT M L Yeung · A S Cruz | M L Yeung | A S Cruz | 13 | 87.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 11 | COPARTNER ERA B A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 3 | 7.4 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 7 | SUPER MISSION 早段領放 H-/CP J Moreira · P F Yiu | J Moreira | P F Yiu | 5 | 3.7 | 7-3/4 |
| 8 | 12 | GOLDEN FOUR 後段發力 P M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 12 | 23.0 | 8 |
| 9 | 10 | ISLAND SUNSHINE PC R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 1 | 39.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 10 | 14 | CIGAR BUDDIES B1 H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 7 | 135.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 11 | 1 | DECISIVE ACTION CP/TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 14 | 24.0 | 13-1/4 |
| 12 | 3 | JUDY'S STAR B K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 10 | 33.0 | 13-3/4 |
| 13 | 6 | SALUTATION B1 A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 2 | 16.0 | 14-1/2 |
| 14 | 2 | PASSING FASHION H C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 11 | 175.0 | 37-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SUPER MISSION | 21.3% | 4.69 | 7 |
| 2 | 9 | PLIKCLONE | 17.5% | 5.70 | 4 |
| 3 | 8 | FREE FOAL | 14.7% | 6.82 | 3 |
| 4 | 6 | SALUTATION | 9.4% | 10.60 | 13 |
| 5 | 4 | AWE | 7.5% | 13.32 | 2 |
| 6 | 11 | COPARTNER ERA | 6.5% | 15.35 | 6 |
| 7 | 5 | CITY LEGEND | 6.0% | 16.68 | 1 |
| 8 | 10 | ISLAND SUNSHINE | 5.4% | 18.38 | 9 |
| 9 | 1 | DECISIVE ACTION | 5.4% | 18.55 | 11 |
| 10 | 3 | JUDY'S STAR | 2.8% | 35.91 | 12 |
| 11 | 12 | GOLDEN FOUR | 1.4% | 70.91 | 8 |
| 12 | 14 | CIGAR BUDDIES | 0.8% | 124.40 | 10 |
| 13 | 13 | VIVA POPCORN | 0.7% | 141.66 | 5 |
| 14 | 2 | PASSING FASHION | 0.5% | 201.58 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 146
PLACE
4 35.5
5 38.5
8 25.5
QUINELLA
4,5 1,008.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 257.5
4,8 197
5,8 153
FORECAST
5,4 1,688
TIERCE
5,4,8 10,862
TRIO
4,5,8 2,206
FIRST 4
4,5,8,9 967
QUARTET
5,4,8,9 31,213
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 34
A2 —
5TH DOUBLE
5/4 423
5/5 2,251.5