Sha Tin · 2021-06-13
Race 5
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2021-06-13 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on WET SLOW going. DASHING FIT, ridden by B Shinn and trained by J Size, won by N, with THE BEST HERO second and EVERYONE'S VICTORY third. The 4.1 favourite STEEL WIN finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | DASHING FIT B1 1.09.42 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Shinn · J Size | B Shinn | J Size | 10 | 16.0 | N |
| 2 | 12 | THE BEST HERO B H W Lai · L Ho | H W Lai | L Ho | 7 | 8.2 | N |
| 3 | 8 | EVERYONE'S VICTORY H/TT H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 11 | 67.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 11 | STEEL WIN B- K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 4 | 4.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | GLORIOUS LOVER B J Moreira · C H Yip | J Moreira | C H Yip | 2 | 8.2 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 1 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS B H N Wong · D J Hall | H N Wong | D J Hall | 12 | 23.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 3 | DIVINE REGULUS TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 6 | 8.3 | 7-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | LAPUTA C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 9 | 73.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 9 | 10 | HOLYSHOWCASING T Piccone · D E Ferraris | T Piccone | D E Ferraris | 3 | 9.6 | 8-1/2 |
| 10 | 9 | FOREVER CITY H-/B1/TT K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 8 | 15.0 | 13 |
| 11 | 7 | LUCKY RUBY B/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 5 | 4.5 | 13 |
| 12 | 4 | JUST NOT LISTENING V C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 1 | 11.0 | 22-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | GLORIOUS LOVER | 27.3% | 3.66 | 5 |
| 2 | 3 | DIVINE REGULUS | 14.3% | 6.99 | 7 |
| 3 | 7 | LUCKY RUBY | 12.4% | 8.05 | 11 |
| 4 | 12 | THE BEST HERO | 10.8% | 9.30 | 2 |
| 5 | 4 | JUST NOT LISTENING | 8.4% | 11.95 | 12 |
| 6 | 5 | DASHING FIT | 5.4% | 18.52 | 1 |
| 7 | 6 | LAPUTA | 5.2% | 19.25 | 8 |
| 8 | 9 | FOREVER CITY | 4.4% | 22.96 | 10 |
| 9 | 11 | STEEL WIN | 4.0% | 25.01 | 4 |
| 10 | 10 | HOLYSHOWCASING | 3.1% | 32.51 | 9 |
| 11 | 8 | EVERYONE'S VICTORY | 2.7% | 36.65 | 3 |
| 12 | 1 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS | 2.1% | 48.50 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 166
PLACE
5 53.5
8 166.5
12 21.5
QUINELLA
5,12 905
QUINELLA PLACE
5,8 1,222
5,12 249.5
8,12 826.5
FORECAST
5,12 2,096
TIERCE
5,12,8 49,531
TRIO
5,8,12 15,331
FIRST 4
5,8,11,12 12,756
QUARTET
5,12,8,11 309,652
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,9/5,8,12 294,791
3 PICK 1
A3 26
A1 —
A2 —
4TH DOUBLE
3/5 795.5
3/12 44